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Analysis after the 20th National Congress

(Central News Agency reporter Lv Jiarong, Taipei, 18) In response to the CCP’s policy direction towards Taiwan after the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, Tao Yifen, associate professor in the Political Science Department of the National Taiwan University , said today that military reunification is not expected in the next five years, but that the CCP will move from anti-independence to promoting reunification, as well as the differentiation of the Taiwanese people.

Hosted by National Taiwan University’s Center for Mainland China Studies and Harvard University’s Kennedy School of Government Ash Center, and co-organized by the Office of Legislative Advisor Jiang Qichen and the Office of Legislative Advisor Ho Zhiwei, the The exchange forum on “Challenges to regional stability and economic relations of the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party” was held today in Taipei.

Tao Yifen attended the online meeting and stressed that military reunification in the next 5-10 years is unlikely, because China’s strength cannot easily fight the United States and Xi Jinping, the Chinese Communist Party’s general secretary, subjectively believes that the situation is rising in the east and descending in the west, so it will not be easy to take risks.

Tao Yifen said that since the report of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China and previous speeches, Xi Jinping’s work on Taiwan will be carried out by the anti-independence leadership in promoting reunification and will continue to carry out civilian attack and intimidation. military action against Taiwan in the form of “war-force talks” to create external military threats. In order to divide the people of Taiwan, divide the people of Taiwan into “patriots” and “Taiwanese independence elements” who are interfered by foreign forces, and thus force the Taiwanese to choose between “patriots” and “Taiwan independence”, causing the division of Taiwanese public opinion and panic among the people, and ultimately forced to the negotiating table.

Tao Yifen stressed that this is a major factor of instability in the region. Also, 14 months after the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China there will be Taiwan presidential elections, during this period China will slow down the United States, but on the Taiwan issue it will force the United States to express its disapproval of Taiwan. During the presidential election, he began to use a series of sharp power operations, false information, etc., arguing that this is the choice of “war and peace”, coupled with military pressure on Taiwan, etc., so that the people of Taiwan can conduct elections under the coercion of force.

Tao Yifen said, if the choice is made in a situation of force and coercion, is it still a free choice? Both the government and the opposition are firmly opposed to “one country, two systems” and should think about how the government and the opposition should maintain Taiwan’s democratic system and make choices without external threats.

Xu Siqin, director of the Center for Mainland China Studies at National Taiwan University, said that Xi Jinping has spoken many times about the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation and the reunification of Taiwan. During the reading of the 16th, Xi said that “the reunification of the motherland must be achieved” and “the reunification of the motherland” in terms of relations across the Strait and Taiwan policy. It will surely come true. “As for his impression of him, he has never seen it before.

Also, when Xi finished talking about this paragraph, the audience cheered longer this time. This is also an important phenomenon.

Xu Siqin said we should also pay attention to the interaction between Xi Jinping and the People’s Liberation Army, and Xi Jinping’s military takeover is stable. When the EPL hears Xi’s speech on the reunification of Taiwan and the motherland, the EPL will have “pressure.” Such interactions are potentially self-reinforcing, making both speaker and listener feel that the other is willing and that their goals can be achieved sooner. (Publisher: Chen Peibing) 1111018

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