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A model expects the number of corona virus deaths in Egypt? An epidemiologist explains to Amr Adib

Dubai, United Arab Emirates (CNN) – The ascending curve continues for the number of cases diagnosed with the new corona virus or what has become known as “Covid-19” in Egypt according to the official numbers issued by the Ministry of Health, which amounted to 3032 cases, with 19 deaths recorded New, Saturday.

Islam Annan, a professor of epidemiology at the University of Egypt, explained in a telephone conversation with the Egyptian media, Amr Adib, on MBC channel, saying: “Since the numbers of injuries in Egypt are few and we are not sure whether this number of injuries is actual or not, and we are like the rest of the world, The whole world makes assumptions for every confirmed case, in a possible unconfirmed case in some countries, I put 3 cases, 5 cases, and even 10 cases .. “

A square in the Egyptian capital Cairo before and after the curfew procedures (right) and after (left)

He continued: “The people who work on the models, for us the death numbers are more accurate, because the death numbers are certain, and therefore the scenarios that we put on the deaths and we start observing, we are currently in the range of 224 deaths and the number so that people prefer along the following day by day, we tell them that In the statistics, these numbers are few to follow day to day. The best thing is that we take a sufficient sample and compare it week after week. “

Annan added: “From these figures, of course people lived by saying that the percentage is 7%, this percentage is related to injuries, and we are not sure of them … We were walking at a rate of 300% of the past week and before that, this week the result became 200% growth in numbers Deaths from one week to a week, and the modified Arab nation followed it up to 200%. We accepted Algeria, Morocco, then Iraq, and then the Gulf states. From the death numbers, we go back to the people again, what you attribute to the injuries .. ”

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