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Thunder vs. Pacers Game 6: Odds, Predictions & NBA Finals Outlook

by Emma Walker – News Editor

Oklahoma City Thunder Poised to Clinch NBA Title in Game 6 vs. Indiana Pacers

The Oklahoma City Thunder are on the cusp of securing their first NBA title in 17 years as they head into Game 6 of the NBA Finals against the Indiana Pacers. Oklahoma City leads the series and is heavily favored to close it out on the road, despite uncertainty surrounding Pacers’ All-Star point guard Tyrese Haliburton’s availability.

Thunder vs. Pacers Game 6: Odds and Analysis

Spread

The Thunder are favored by 6.5 points,with odds of -110 at BetMGM. This reflects their dominance in the series, going 3-1 against the spread in the last four games. A Thunder victory by seven or more points would cover the spread.

Total

The over/under is set at 221.5 points. While Game 5 saw a high-scoring second half, the prediction leans towards the under, with odds of -105. Haliburton’s potential absence or limited performance could lead to a lower-scoring affair.

Moneyline

The Thunder’s moneyline is -250, meaning a $250 bet would win $100. The Pacers are at +200, offering a $200 payout on a $100 bet if they pull off the upset.

Did You Know? The Thunder have covered the spread in every game they’ve won this series.

Predictions and Key Factors

The health of Tyrese Haliburton is a major factor.If he’s unable to play or is limited, the Thunder are expected to capitalize. Oklahoma City’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the frontrunner for Finals MVP,with odds at -600.

Prediction: Thunder 113, Pacers 100

Game 6 Details

  • Date: Thursday, June 19, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • TV: Watch on Fubo

Odds to Win NBA Finals

Odds courtesy of BetMGM as of Thursday, June 19, 2025:

team odds
Thunder -2500 (Bet $2500 to win $100)
Pacers +1050 (Bet $100 to win $1050)

Finals MVP Odds

Odds courtesy of BetMGM as of thursday, June 19, 2025:

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder): -600
  • Jalen Williams (Thunder): +625
  • Pascal Siakam (Pacers): 15/1 (+1500)
  • Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers): 40/1 (+4000)

Pro Tip: Keep an eye on injury reports leading up to the game, as they can significantly impact the betting line.

Will the Thunder close out the series, or can the Pacers force a Game 7? Who will win the finals MVP?

NBA Finals: A Historical Perspective

the NBA finals have a rich history of dramatic finishes and unexpected upsets. Since 2000, only a handful of teams trailing 3-1 in the series have managed to force a game 7, let alone win the championship. The historical data suggests that teams with a 3-1 lead have a very high probability of winning the series.

Frequently Asked Questions About the NBA Finals


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