This article discusses the potential impact of Donald Trump’s tariff threats on various countries, especially in Latin America, and how these actions could inadvertently strengthen alliances like BRICS and create opportunities for multilateral leadership.
here’s a breakdown of the key points:
Trump’s Tariff Threats and Their Impact:
Targeting BRICS: The article begins by mentioning that Russia and China, as members of BRICS, defend other member countries against Trump’s tariff threats. China is highlighted as a strategic ally and Brazil’s main partner in several profitable areas, even more so than US-Brazilian alliances.
Undermining Sovereignty: A Brazilian politician suggests that Trump’s actions are an attempt to prevent the expansion of ties that the US cannot control, which could backfire and strengthen these alliances.
Specific Country Examples:
Panama: trump’s intention to take over the Panama canal and threats of sanctions are seen as an attempt to block ports connecting Panama with Chinese companies. Panama has already experienced a 10% tariff violation of a Free Trade Agreement.
Peru: trump’s actions are considered objectively bad for Peru. The article criticizes his treatment of Peruvians in the US as criminals and the request of tariffs on remittances.
Greenland: Trump’s attempt to acquire Greenland’s territory is mentioned as an example of jeopardizing sovereignty.
Canada: Canada is also mentioned as being wrapped in threats within an electoral context.
Argentina: In contrast, Argentina, under Javier Milei, is seen as benefiting as Trump’s approach aligns with Milei’s ideas on imposing rules and interests.
Brazil’s Chance for Leadership:
Leading a BRICS block: The article suggests that Brazil has an opportunity to lead a joint response representing all countries in the region. While this hasn’t happened yet, the current tariff context is seen as an incentive.
Multilateral Leadership: Brazil can use this confrontation to stand out as a country with multilateral leadership, not just by dealing with Trump’s measures but also by opposing any attempts to use force to interfere with global trade rules.
Reducing US Exposure: The article advises countries to reduce their exposure to the US economy to avoid becoming victims of arbitrary decisions like these.
Critique of US Policy:
Lack of Trust: The article emphasizes that countries should not trust the United States, as trump often starts negotiations aggressively.
Trump’s weakness: One expert believes Trump is being “weaker, not stronger” with these threats, presenting an opportunity for Brazil to lead a bloc of countries opposing such subordination.
Broader Implications:
Strengthening Diplomatic Relations: Trump’s tariff threats are seen as an opportunity for countries, not just in Latin America but globally, to strengthen their diplomatic relations within their regions.
* A “Possibility for the World to No Victory”: This phrase suggests that by resisting such pressures, countries can achieve a positive outcome and assert their autonomy.In essence, the article argues that Trump’s protectionist and assertive trade policies, while intended to benefit the US, could have the unintended outcome of pushing countries towards greater cooperation with blocs like BRICS and fostering new leadership opportunities for nations like Brazil. It also highlights the vulnerability of some countries to US economic pressure and the need for greater regional autonomy.
