Shifts in US Tourism: A Summer of Mixed Signals
The US tourism industry experienced a complex summer season, marked by declines in international visitors alongside pockets of domestic strength. Concerns over the national climate, especially in Washington D.C., appear to have contributed to a downturn in some areas, while others benefited from increased domestic travel and loyal regional visitors.
Nationally, preliminary government data from the National Travel and Tourism Office indicates a 1.6% decrease - over 3 million visitors – in overseas arrivals (excluding Mexico and Canada) during the first seven months of the year. Western Europe showed a 2.3% decline, with significant drops from Denmark (19%), Germany (10%), and France (6.6%). Similar trends were observed in Asia, with double-digit decreases in visitors from Hong Kong, Indonesia, and the Philippines, as well as fewer travelers from African nations.
However, the picture wasn’t uniformly negative.Arrivals increased from Argentina, Brazil, italy, and Japan. Furthermore, some US destinations thrived. Door County, Wisconsin, for example, enjoyed a strong summer fueled by consistent visitation from the Midwest. Local businesses reported increased foot traffic and packed restaurants by midsummer.
The airline industry also presented a mixed outlook. While international flights benefited from strong bookings of premium fares, demand for domestic flights rebounded after a slow first half of the year. The Federal Aviation Management anticipates the busiest Labour Day weekend in 15 years, with airline bookings up approximately 2% compared to 2024, according to Cirium.The impact of shifting travel patterns was particularly noticeable in border regions. Buffalo, New York, felt the absence of international tourists, especially from Canada, which traditionally sends over 20 million visitors to the US annually – more than any other contry.This year, however, Canadian travel to the US has significantly decreased.
In a notable reversal, more US residents traveled into Canada in June and July than Canadians traveling south, a phenomenon not seen in nearly two decades outside of pandemic-related months. Statistics Canada reported a 37% drop in Canadian residents returning from the US by car in July, and a 26% decrease in return trips by plane.
In response,Visit Buffalo Niagara adjusted its marketing strategy,focusing on domestic cities like Boston,Philadelphia,and Chicago,and leveraging amateur sporting events to offset the loss of Canadian tourism. The organization emphasized its continued desire to welcome Canadian visitors in the future,stressing the importance of the relationship beyond economic impact.
Meanwhile, Washington D.C., which saw a deployment of National Guard members and a federal takeover of Union Station, projected a 5.1% decline in international visitors. Destination DC launched a campaign to “counter negative rhetoric” and showcase the city’s local character.