Russia Increasingly Willing to Aid Potential Chinese Invasion of Taiwan,Report Finds
WASHINGTON – A new report details a growing willingness from Russia to assist China in preparing for a potential invasion of Taiwan,marking a notable escalation in sino-Russian military cooperation and raising concerns about regional stability. Teh analysis, conducted by a leading international institute, reveals Moscow views supporting a Chinese campaign as a means to bolster its influence over Beijing and challenge the existing global order.
The report highlights a shift in Russian policy,overcoming previous reluctance to share military technology with China due to fears of intellectual property theft. Now, with President Vladimir Putin seeking to disrupt the established international framework, Moscow increasingly sees itself as a critical supplier of raw materials and military industrial capacity should China move against Taiwan. Any invasion, the report notes, “Would probably lead to fighting throughout the Sea of southern China, which would force the Chinese army to project its combat power.”
The study points to a dramatic increase in joint military exercises between the two nations. In 2024 alone,Russia and China conducted 14 such drills,nearly double the number held a decade prior-a clear indication of their deepening strategic alignment. These exercises coudl allow China’s People’s Liberation Army (APL) to secure critical airfields beyond Taiwan, facilitating operations to counter potential American intervention against an amphibious landing.
According to the report,Russia’s evolving stance is driven by a desire to become indispensable to China. “Moscow increasingly considers Taiwan’s invasion as a means of strengthening its influence on Beijing,” the analysis states. This support could take the form of providing essential resources and expertise, positioning Russia as a key partner in a high-stakes conflict with global ramifications.
A joint exercise between China, Russia, and Iran in the Gulf of Oman, held in March 2023, underscored this growing trilateral cooperation. The report’s findings come amid heightened tensions in the Indo-Pacific region and increasing concerns about China’s military ambitions.
