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“headline”: “Prabowo Subianto‘s Geopolitical Realism: Navigating Indonesia’s Foreign Policy”,
“datePublished”: “2024-05-15”,
“dateModified”: “2024-05-15”,
“author”: {
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“name”: “Lucas Fernandez”,
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“description”: “An examination of Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto’s realist approach to geopolitics, notably concerning the Israel-Palestine conflict and his past peace proposals.”,
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“articleBody”: “Mr. Prabowo’s interest in geopolitics is not new. As defense minister from 2019 to 2024, he drew fire after pitching a controversial peace plan for the war between russia and Ukraine at the Shangri-La Dialog in 2023. His proposal included the creation of a demilitarized zone and an eventual United Nations-sponsored referendum in the “disputed territories.” Ukraine’s then foreign ministry spokesperson, Oleg Nikolenko, rejected it outright, saying there where no disputed territories and that Russia’s withdrawal from all the occupied territories was non-negotiable.nnThat episode revealed Mr.Prabowo’s realist outlook and the priority he gives to hard power in international relations over international laws and conventions.nnThat posture has continued into his presidency.nnDuring a press conference with French President Emmanuel Macron in Jakarta in May, he declared: “We must acknowledge and guarantee Israel’s rights as a sovereign country,” adding a caveat that “Indonesia has stated that once Israel recognizes Palestine, Indonesia is ready to recognize Israel.”nnNo previous Indonesian president has dared to offer an explicit promise to recognize the state of Israel, let alone throwing in some form of security guarantee.nnYet, apart from his blunt language, Mr. Prabowo had in fact barely shifted Indonesia’s traditional stance vis-a-vis Israel. It has been a key element of its foreign policy to withhold diplomatic recognition and avoid ties with Tel Aviv as long as there is no independent Palestinian state.nnNow he has appeared to make,by the tone of his language at least,Palestine’s independence a foreign policy priority. He has, moreover, signaled his willingness to work with Israel to achieve this objective, even if he has never elaborated how.nnIn April,Mr. Prabowo underlined his resolve to nudge along a resolution of the Israel-Palestine conflict by offering to temporarily shelter 1,000 Palestinians impacted by the war in Gaza.If carried out,this will represent Indonesia’s moast concrete commitment to the Palestinian cause to date.nn
Indonesia’s foreign policy has historically been guided by the principle of non-alignment and a strong commitment to the Palestinian cause. This stance has deep roots in the nation’s own struggle for independence and its solidarity with oppressed peoples worldwide. President Prabowo’s recent statements, while seemingly a departure, maintain the core condition of Palestinian statehood for full recognition of Israel. This nuanced approach reflects a pragmatic engagement with complex geopolitical realities while upholding long-standing principles.
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Frequently Asked Questions
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- What is Prabowo Subianto’s general approach to foreign policy?
- Prabowo Subianto generally adopts a realist outlook, prioritizing hard power and national interests in international relations.
- What was Prabowo’s controversial peace plan for Ukraine?
- Prabowo’s controversial peace plan for Ukraine proposed a demilitarized zone and a UN-sponsored referendum in disputed territories.
- What is Indonesia’s traditional stance on recognizing Israel?
- Indonesia’s traditional stance is to withhold diplomatic recognition and avoid ties with Israel until an independent Palestinian state is recognized.
- Has Prabowo changed Indonesia’s stance on israel?
- While Prabowo’s language is more direct, he has largely maintained indonesia’s traditional stance, linking recognition to Palestinian statehood.
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