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Can Turkey Do Without Russian Energy?

by Emma Walker – News Editor

Turkey Diversifies Energy Sources, But Remains Reliant on Russia

ANKARA, Turkey – October 4, ​2025 – While facing international pressure to reduce dependence on ​Russian ⁣energy, Turkey is actively pursuing a strategy of diversification, securing⁤ new long-term contracts for⁢ liquified natural gas (LNG) from ​the United States, Australia, Egypt, Algeria, Qatar, and Nigeria. Though, the country remains significantly reliant on Russian energy supplies, particularly for lignite and its first nuclear power plant project.

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov recently argued that forcing countries to abandon Russian ‍gas simply drives up costs for consumers, stating ⁤it’s “the simplest way ⁣is to force the entire world to pay more for American oil and LNG.”

Turkey’s approach, however,⁣ appears⁣ to be one of broadening its energy portfolio⁣ rather then outright abandonment of Russian sources. During a recent visit to the US, Turkey’s state-owned oil and gas company, BOTAS, announced two meaningful LNG ⁣contracts.‌ One agreement wiht US firm Mercuria will provide 70 billion cubic meters of LNG over ⁣20 ‌years, beginning in 2026. A second deal with australian company Woodside⁢ Energy will deliver 5.8 billion cubic meters of LNG.

“The⁤ Turkish government has been making ​significant⁣ efforts ⁣recently to diversify its energy sources in⁣ order to ensure energy security,” explained Kadri tastan, a senior non-resident fellow with the German Marshall Fund’s Brussels office. “At⁤ the same⁤ time it’s also been promoting ⁤domestic energy sources and renewables.”

Despite these ⁣efforts,fossil fuels still dominate Turkey’s energy market,accounting for ‍approximately 84% in 2022,according ‍to a report by the Union of Chambers of ‍Turkish Engineers and ⁣Architects,with renewables comprising the remaining 16%.

The new agreements with the US also serve a diplomatic purpose, according to Tastan. “President Trump wants to increase US sales of ‍fossil fuels and these new agreements could be used as a‍ tool ⁣in ‌negotiations⁢ around things like tariffs,” he suggested.

Turkey’s energy relationship with Russia extends beyond ⁤natural gas. In 2022, 43% of Turkey’s lignite needs ‍were met through Russian imports. Moreover, the ⁣Akkuyu Nuclear Power Plant, Turkey’s first nuclear facility, is under construction with the assistance ​of Russian atomic power firm ⁢Rosatom.

While completion of Akkuyu has been‌ delayed‍ due to sanctions against Russia, Turkish Energy Minister Alparslan Bayraktar anticipates the plant will begin operating next year, with full completion expected by⁤ 2028.

Analysts predict Turkey will continue to ⁣navigate a ⁤complex energy landscape, balancing the need for energy security with its existing relationships and ongoing projects with ‌Russia.

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