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Asean Expands: Navigating a Multipolar World

by Lucas Fernandez – World Editor

navigating a Multipolar World: ASEAN‘s Expanding Diplomacy

The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)‌ finds itself at⁣ a critical juncture, increasingly‍ courted by⁣ a diverse range of ⁣global powers as the international⁤ order shifts. While historically maintaining ​a position of neutrality, ASEAN is now actively broadening​ its diplomatic engagements with groups like BRICS, the Gulf ⁣Cooperation ‌Council (GCC),​ the Shanghai‍ Cooperation Organisation (SCO), and perhaps the African Union and the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation‌ (OIC). ​This expansion, however, presents both opportunities and significant challenges for the ⁤regional bloc.

The‌ impetus for this outreach stems from a growing dissatisfaction with the existing global framework. ⁣For ​some‍ nations, the promotion of “liberal⁢ democracy and free‍ markets” is perceived not as a universal ideal, but as a justification for Western dominance. Beijing, Moscow, and ‌many in ⁣the Global South hold this ‍view, ​creating a fractured narrative that ASEAN cannot afford to ignore.⁢ The institution’s strength lies in its ability to foster dialog, demonstrating that coexistence is possible even without complete ⁣consensus.

ASEAN has long functioned as a crucial “middle space,” facilitating dialogue between competing powers rather than aligning​ as a​ bloc ⁣or⁣ becoming a pawn in their⁢ games. ⁤Maintaining this role requires a delicate balance⁣ between ambition⁢ and⁤ restraint.⁣ Overextending itself by deepening ties with​ numerous partners risks overpromising and underdelivering, necessitating careful management ‌of expectations ‍- both its own and those of external actors.

The region is experiencing‍ increased⁢ attention from major players.The ‌United⁤ States seeks a strong Southeast Asian presence within its Indo-Pacific strategy, while ⁢China aims to strengthen its influence through trade, infrastructure projects, ​and security dialogues. India, Russia, and nations ⁢within⁤ the⁤ Middle East are also actively‌ engaging with ASEAN in ways previously unseen. This widening network of linkages presents a double-edged sword: skillful management can⁢ enhance ASEAN’s strategic importance, while mismanagement could ‌lead to internal​ fractures.

This broadening‌ diplomacy reflects⁤ a wider‍ global trend -​ a search for alternatives amidst eroding ‌trust‍ in established multilateral institutions, intensifying great-power competition, and‍ the fragmentation of global supply chains. ASEAN is ​attempting to‍ create “islands of dialogue” to foster stability ‍in this turbulent habitat. ⁣

The recent admission of Timor-Leste ‌demonstrates ​ASEAN’s capacity for expansion, but growth alone is​ insufficient.⁢ Effective governance is crucial to‌ ensure ⁤continued relevance. Success would demonstrate the ability of ‌middle and small powers to shape global ‍politics by building bridges across continents and cultures. Failure, however, risks the⁤ region becoming ⁢ensnared in a‌ binary competition between​ great powers, ‍losing its ability to manoeuvre.

Malaysia’s upcoming Group Chairmanship in 2025 underscores the region’s awareness⁣ of these high stakes. In a world ⁢defined by rivalry, ASEAN’s survival depends on building as ‍many ​connections⁢ as possible, even if those connections appear fragile.

Phar Kim Beng, PhD is the ⁢Professor of Asean Studies at International Islamic University of Malaysia and ‌Director of Institute of Internationalisation and Asean ​Studies (IINTAS).

Disclaimer: This is the ⁣personal opinion of the writer or publication and does not necessarily represent ⁢the ‍views of Malay ⁢Mail.

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