Europe Faces Increased Flood Risk as Record Warm Seas Fuel Intense Rainfall
Brussels – Unseasonably warm sea temperatures surrounding Europe are intensifying frontal systems and leading to increased precipitation, raising concerns about flash flooding, especially in the mediterranean region and across parts of Western and Northern Europe. The phenomenon, driven by above-average ocean temperatures, is expected to continue throughout November, possibly resulting in an extended period of above-average temperatures alongside important rainfall.
The influx of moisture from warmer waters is creating conditions ripe for heavy downpours. This pattern has already manifested in recent weeks, with Storm Benjamin delivering substantial rainfall across the continent and heavy precipitation impacting southern spain. Northern Portugal is forecast to receive up to 200 millimeters of rain by Saturday. The increased moisture is not limited to the Iberian Peninsula; a cold front is expected to bring needed precipitation to the Czech Republic on Sunday.
These warmer seas are contributing to heavier rains, increasing the risk of flash floods, especially in the Mediterranean. significant precipitation totals are also anticipated in westerly flow patterns and higher elevations of the British Isles and Scandinavia. The overall November outlook suggests continued dynamic weather over the North Atlantic, potentially leading to an above-average temperature period. Though, the amount of precipitation reaching Central Europe will depend on the positioning of high-pressure systems that could block incoming weather fronts.
