China Prioritizes Long-Term Strategy Over Emulating Russia‘s Aggression, Analyst Finds
Singapore – Despite demonstrating increased military capability and observing Russia’s actions in Ukraine, China is likely to maintain a strategically patient approach, prioritizing its long-term goal of global primacy over short-term military gains in asia, according to a new analysis by the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS). The assessment,published October 9,2025,suggests Beijing recognizes that escalatory actions,while perhaps yielding immediate benefits,would ultimately jeopardize its overarching grand strategy.
The RSIS report highlights China’s recent display of military strength,citing the Victory Day Parade on September 3 as an example of its assertive messaging. However, the analysis contends that China is cautiously observing the situation in Europe and is unlikely to mirror Russia’s level of aggression. Instead, it is capitalizing on perceived U.S. domestic turmoil and a potential retrenchment from international leadership to expand its influence.
“To win without fighting,” – echoing Sun Tzu’s strategic principle – is reportedly central to China’s current approach. By positioning itself as a defender of the status quo, Beijing aims to garner support from developing nations concerned about global instability. This strategy allows china to pursue its objective of diminishing U.S. global primacy without resorting to direct conflict.
Yang Zi, a Research Fellow in the China Program at RSIS, concludes that Chinese leaders, known for their strategic patience, are more likely to prioritize reshaping the world order in their favor over pursuing short-term gains that coudl undermine their broader ambitions.