China’s Economy: Headlines vs. Reality

Workers struggle amid official growth figures

While China’s economy shows robust growth on paper, many citizens feel a stark disconnect, grappling with stagnant wages and job insecurity.

Stalled Progress for Chengdu Accountant

A 36-year-old accountant in Chengdu, identified as **Justin Li**, has not seen a pay raise in five years. His monthly salary of 7,000 yuan (US$975) remains unchanged since the pandemic began, complicating his dream of homeownership.

The uncertain job market amplifies his concerns. With my current income, I don’t dare take on a mortgage,” **Li** stated. What if I lose my job one day? The job market is weak right now – there’s too much unknown about the future. He currently rents accommodation for his family, which includes his wife, mother, and one-year-old daughter.

Growth Figures Mask Underlying Issues

Beijing recently reported a better-than-expected 5.3 percent first-half GDP growth, indicating resilience against challenges like the trade dispute with the United States. Officials are widely expected to meet the full-year growth target of around 5 percent.

However, experts caution that this positive headline data may not reflect the daily experiences of households and businesses. Professor of finance at the University of Hong Kong, **Chen Zhiwu**, commented, We need to distinguish between official economic data and how households and businesses actually feel.

“What people are feeling is a different world from the rosy data in the first half.”

—Chen Zhiwu, Chair Professor of Finance, University of Hong Kong

Concerns are rising about a potential slowdown in the latter half of the year due to flagging consumer confidence, persistent deflationary pressures, a struggling property sector, and trade uncertainties. This has led to increasing calls for more substantial government support measures.

For instance, while China’s manufacturing sector grew, its consumer spending index in May reached its lowest point since early 2023, reflecting cautious consumer sentiment. Bloomberg reported.

The disconnect highlights the complex economic landscape China faces, where headline achievements do not always translate into improved livelihoods for its citizens.