Weekly analysis: AXA shares – where is this going?

The present analysis deals with the Axa share, which is included in the “multi-line insurance” segment. The share will be listed on October 30, 2020, 3:42 a.m. on its home exchange, EN Paris, at EUR 13.77.

In order to evaluate this course, we subjected Axa to a multi-stage analysis process. This results in assessments as to whether Axa should be classified as a “Buy”, “Hold” or “Sell”. A final consolidation of these assessments results in the overall assessment.

1. Analysts’ assessment: If it is up to the long-term opinion of analysts, then the Axa share will receive the assessment “Buy”. Overall, the following ratings are available: 9 Buy, 2 Hold, 0 Sell. This is also the opinion of the analysts, who recently gave a rating for the share – the average recommendation for Axa from last month is also “Buy” (4 Buy, 0 Hold, 0 Sell). Finally, the analysts’ target price is also of interest for evaluating the share overall. This is settled at 23 EUR. This would mean that the share would achieve a performance of 67.06 percent in the future, as it currently costs EUR 13.77. This development leads to the classification “Buy”. As the editorial team, we give the overall analyst assessment the “Buy” rating.

Should Investors Sell Right Now? Or is it worth joining Axa?

2. Sentiment and Buzz: The Internet can reinforce or even turn moods. Depending on the intensity of the discussion, i.e. the number of verbal contributions in social media and the frequency and depth of the change in sentiment, new assessments of stocks result. At Axa, we measured a medium level of activity over the long term in terms of discussion intensity and assigned the rating “Hold” to this signal. According to our measurements, the rate of mood change shows hardly any changes. We therefore come to the overall result “Hold” for the long-term sentiment.

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3. Investors: The discussions about Axa on social media platforms give a clear signal about the assessments and sentiments surrounding the title. At the moment, the comments and opinions in the past two weeks are generally positive opinions. In addition, over the past few days, mostly positive issues relating to value have been addressed. Our editorial team has come to the conclusion that the company should be classified as a “Buy”. Finally, eight trading signals can also be determined at this level in the past period. The picture shows 0 buy and 8 sell signals. This result ultimately leads to a classification as a “Sell” share. In summary, the editors are of the opinion that the Axa share is appropriately valued at “Buy” based on investor sentiment.

4. Dividend: The ratio between the dividend and the current share price is usually expressed as the dividend yield. The value can be subject to fluctuations on every trading day and is therefore a dynamically changing key figure. With a dividend yield of 4.88 percent, Axa is currently above the industry average. The “insurance” branch has a value of 3.17, which is a difference of +1.71 percent compared to the Axa share. On the basis of this result, the stock receives a “buy” rating for its dividend policy from the editors.

5. Fundamental: The most important indicator for the fundamental analysis is the price-earnings-ratio (P / E). Based on this, Axa is significantly cheaper with a value of 11.46 than the agent in the “insurance” sector and is therefore undervalued. The industry P / E ratio is 13.15, which is a difference of 13 percent. We therefore classify the title as a “Buy” recommendation.

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6. Relative Strength Index: A prominent signal of technical analysis, the Relative Strength Index, RSI, relates the up and down movements of prices over a period of – exemplary – 7 days. A value between 0 and 30 is considered “oversold”, 70 to 100 as “overbought” and in between as neutral. The RSI of the Axa leads to a “Sell” rating at a level of 82.47. The RSI25, based on a period of 25 days, is 67.92 an indicator for a “hold” assessment at this level. This puts the overall assessment on “Sell”.

7. Technical analysis: A look at the technical chart development of a share with the help of the moving average can be used to determine the current trend of the security. Let’s look at the moving average of the closing price of the Axa share over the last 200 trading days. This value is currently 17.81 EUR. This means that the last closing price (EUR 13.77) is significantly lower (difference -22.68 percent). We rate the share as a “sell” on this basis. What does this calculation look like if you determine the moving average based on the last 50 trading days? The last closing price for this value (EUR 16.28) is also below the moving average (-15.42 percent), so the Axa share also receives a “sell” rating for this. For the simple chart technique, the Axa share is given a “sell” rating.

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8. Sector comparison share price: Compared to the average annual performance of shares from the same sector (“finance”), Axa is more than 34 percent lower with a return of -35.51 percent. The “insurance” industry has an average return over the past 12 months of -0.94 percent. Here, too, Axa is significantly lower with 34.58 percent. This performance of the stock over the past year has resulted in a “sell” rating in this category.

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This gives the Axa share a “hold” rating (viewed across all 8 factors).

Buy, hold or sell – your Axa analysis from 01.11. provides the answer:

How will Axa develop now? Is your money safe in this stock? The answers to these questions and why you have to act now can be found in the latest analysis of the Axa share.

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