Reporter Zheng Peiwen / Taipei Report
▲ The latest polls by Zhang Shanzheng and Zheng Yunpeng have been exposed.
At the end of the year, the blue-greens attacked the mayor of Taoyuan, and the former mayor of Hsinchu, Lin Zhijian, announced his withdrawal from the elections after the thesis, and DPP lawmaker Zheng Yunpeng took over. According to the latest Shanshui Public Opinion Research Co., Ltd. survey commissioned by “Sanli News”, Kuomintang Zhang Shanzheng’s support is 27.9%, almost on par with Zheng Yunpeng’s 26.2%, and the Party popular Lai Xiangling ranks third with 9.6%; it is worth mentioning that Zheng Yunpeng Among the “certain voters” high-willed voting group, 36.6% leads Zhang Shanzheng by 2.2 percentage points.
▲ The support of the mayor of Taoyuan
“Sanli News” announced today (18) the latest poll on the Taoyuan mayor election. In terms of political party preference in the city of Taoyuan, the Democratic Progressive Party (25.7%), the Popular Party (18%) and the Kuomintang (17.2%) in third place, with a high percentage of aiding and abetting of the People’s Party. For the Kuomintang, on the whole, the citizens of Taoyuan tend to be political parties, with a pan-green ratio 32.0% higher than that of the pan-blue (22.8%).
In the Taoyuan mayor’s willingness to vote section, nearly 50% and 49.1% said they would definitely vote, 28.7% said they would probably vote, 9.8% probably wouldn’t vote, and 6 , 8% would definitely not vote. However, 5.6% said they would definitely vote No clear opinion.
▲ Those who support the mayor of Taoyuan and have a high willingness to vote.
▲ Taoyuan mayor’s willingness to vote.
As for the support of Taoyuan mayoral candidate, Kuomintang Zhang Shanzheng 27.9%, DPP Zheng Yunpeng 26.2%, showing a trend of five or five waves, Lai Xiangling ranked third with 9.6% , but 36.3% of voters said they couldn’t get them to choose a candidate; despite general support, Zhang Shanzheng leads Zheng Yunpeng by 1.7%. However, 36.6% of the “support of certain voters”, the high-will-vote group, says Zheng Yunpeng, ahead of 34.4 % of Zhang Shanzheng, and the difference between the two is 2.2%.
In the cross-party analysis of political parties, voters in Taoyuan City are blue-green, with 32% pan-green, only 22.8% pan-blue, and 45.1% of the average voters. In the interregional analysis, Zhang Shanzheng in South Taoyuan is slightly ahead of Zheng Yunpeng with 24.9% with 29.2%, Lai Xiangling has 11% and 35% of the candidates cannot be selected; the situation in North Taoyuan is the opposite, Zheng Yunpeng leads Zhang Shanzheng with 27.5%, 26.7%, Lai Xiangling 8.4% and 37.4% could not choose a candidate.
▲ The trends of the political parties of the city of Taoyuan.
▲ Support from the mayor of Taoyuan and regional crossing points.
In terms of age, Zhang Shanzheng has the highest support among voters between the ages of 50 and 59 with 40.6%, and Zheng Yunpeng leads the group between the ages of 20 and 39 and between 60 and 69, including the elderly group has the highest support with 35.3%. Taoyuan mayor is optimistic about the grade, Zhang Shanzheng is 33.4%, Zheng Yunpeng is 31% and Lai Xiangling is 4.2%.
▲ A cross-analysis of the Taoyuan mayor’s support and background data.
▲ Cross-analysis of Taoyuan mayor’s support and inclination towards political parties.
Regarding Lin Zhijian’s withdrawal from the elections due to the thesis case, the poll showed that 62.1% agreed, 16.8% disagreed and 21% did not have a ‘ clear opinion. Lin Zhijian’s withdrawal from the election had an impact on Zhang Shanzheng’s election: 44.9% thought it was a bonus, 22.1% thought it had no effect, 13.9% thought it was a reduction and 19.1% had no clear intentions. When asked “If there is a case of plagiarism on the candidate cards of all counties and cities in the country, regardless of whether they are blue or green, do you agree or disagree and should you withdraw from the election?” 40.5% of voters agreed, 29.5% of voters somehow agreed, 12.4% somewhat disagreed, 3.1% strongly disagreed and 14, 5% did not have a clear opinion.
According to a survey by Shanshui Public Opinion Research Co., Ltd. commissioned by Sanli News, the survey was conducted August 13-15 and the respondents were people over the age of 20 in Taoyuan City; the sampling method was based on the telephone number of households in Taoyuan city The sampling facility is sampled systematically, supplemented by random processing of queue 2 codes; 1080 valid samples are obtained; the sampling error is approximately 2.98 percentage points below the 95% confidence level.
▲ The mayor of Taoyuan is optimistic.
▲ Approval of Lin Zhijian’s withdrawal.
▲ Lin Zhijian’s withdrawal from the election has an impact on the election of Zhang Shanzheng.
▲ If the card is plagiarized, regardless of whether it is blue or green, it should be withdrawn.
▲ If the paper is plagiarized, regardless of whether it is blue or green, you should withdraw from the elections. Political parties tend to cross-analyze.