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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 2, 2025

Russian Strikes Target Ukrainian Infrastructure, Intensify Energy Concerns – October 2, 2025

Multiple Ukrainian regions experienced ⁣Russian ‌attacks on​ October 2, 2025, resulting in civilian casualties and widespread disruptions to critical infrastructure, including the power grid and railway networks. ⁣A⁣ missile strike on Balakliya, Kharkiv⁤ Oblast, ⁤killed an 88-year-old ‌woman and injured ten others, according ‍to‍ reports⁣ from the Kharkiv Regional⁣ Prosecutor’s office ‌and Ukrainian media outlets including‍ suspilne.​ Concurrently, attacks targeted ⁢Bucha, Odesa,​ and other locations, exacerbating existing vulnerabilities ‌as winter approaches.

These strikes, detailed in‍ assessments from the⁤ Institute for the Study of ⁣War⁢ (ISW) and corroborated by⁢ Ukrainian​ officials via Telegram​ channels, represent a continuation of Russia’s campaign to degrade Ukraine’s ability to sustain its defense and to undermine civilian morale. The attacks on energy infrastructure ⁤specifically raise concerns about⁤ potential blackouts and disruptions to essential ⁣services, particularly as temperatures drop. ‍The ISW’s October⁤ 1, 2025, assessment highlighted⁢ Russia’s ongoing ‍focus on ⁤ukrainian infrastructure, and the October 2 attacks demonstrate ​a ​sustained commitment to this strategy.‌

Key Developments – October 2, 2025:

* ‌ Kharkiv Oblast: A Russian Iskander missile strike on Balakliya resulted⁢ in ‌one fatality and ten injuries. Local authorities‍ reported damage to civilian infrastructure.
* Kyiv‍ Oblast: Attacks on Bucha ⁤caused a​ fire⁣ and resulted ‍in casualties,as reported by ArmyInform.
* Odesa Oblast: Russia targeted a Ukrzaliznytsia (Ukrainian Railways) ⁢depot in Odesa, damaging ‍infrastructure. A separate drone attack injured two⁣ people and left over 46,000 ⁢consumers without⁢ power, ⁤according to Suspilne. DTEK Odesa energy reported ongoing efforts to restore electricity.
*⁢ Nationwide: reports indicated power outages across ⁢multiple ⁢regions due to Russian strikes, impacting critical infrastructure and civilian life.
*⁣ ⁣ Nuclear Safety: The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) reported continued ⁢monitoring of the situation‍ at Ukrainian⁣ nuclear facilities.

ukrainian officials, including Kharkiv Oblast Governor Oleh ⁣Syniehubov and kyiv‌ Oblast head⁤ Oleksii⁤ kuleba, provided updates on the attacks‍ and their consequences via Telegram. Emergency services (DSNS)⁢ were deployed to address the aftermath of the strikes, including ⁢firefighting and medical assistance. ⁤The ISW’s ⁣ongoing ‍Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment continues to analyse the evolving situation and Russia’s strategic objectives.

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