NFL Week 6: Expert Picks Favor Lions-Chiefs Over, Bills–Falcons Total, Bears to Cover
Following a successful Week 5 that yielded a 6-1 record and a +4.94 unit profit, bringing teh season record to 19-9 with +9.34 units and a +30.3% ROI, several Week 6 NFL matchups present compelling betting opportunities.
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants under 41 (-110)
BetMGM offers the best price on the under in this NFC East clash. the analyst expresses skepticism regarding the Giants’ offense and its ability to perform against the Vic Fangio-led Eagles defense. Concerns also exist about the Eagles’ offensive consistency, citing a new playcaller, Jalen Hurts’ passing performance, and a struggling run game, compounded by injuries.
Detroit Lions at Kansas City Chiefs Over 51.5 (-110)
Another BetMGM offering, the over in this high-profile AFC matchup is favored due to anticipated defensive struggles. The Chiefs defense currently ranks 23rd in both success rate and EPA per play (according to rbsdm.com). The lions’ secondary has been weakened by injuries, potentially creating opportunities for Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs’ passing attack, particularly with Xavier Worthy’s return.
Buffalo Bills at Atlanta Falcons Over 48.5 (-110)
The potential absence of Bills linebacker Matt Milano and the uncertain status of Ed Oliver are key factors in this pick. The analyst believes these injuries could allow the Falcons to move the ball effectively, despite reservations about quarterback Michael Penix jr. and the Falcons’ offense. The Bills’ offensive strength, led by Josh Allen, further supports the over.
Chicago Bears +4.5 (-110) at washington Commanders
This pick is a fade of the Commanders, despite their recent win against the Chargers. The analyst suggests the Chargers’ offensive line injuries inflated the Commanders’ defensive performance in that game. They anticipate Caleb Williams and the Bears’ offense, led by Ben Johnson, will pose a challenge for Washington, making the Bears a favorable pick to cover the spread.
