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Morgan Stanley Predicts $4,500 Gold Price by 2026

by Priya Shah – Business Editor

Gold to Hit $2,700 as Central Bank Demand Surges: Morgan Stanley

New York – June ⁤8,⁢ 2025 – Morgan⁣ stanley‍ forecasts gold prices will surge ‍to $2,700 per ounce ⁢within the next ‍12 months, citing robust demand from​ global central banks and escalating geopolitical risks. ‍The investment bank’s revised target, representing a ‍more than 8% increase from current levels, reflects a growing conviction that gold’s safe-haven appeal will continue to drive prices higher.

This bullish outlook arrives as central banks worldwide are aggressively accumulating gold reserves, a trend fueled by diversification efforts and a⁢ desire to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar. Coupled with ongoing geopolitical tensions and expectations of⁣ potential‍ interest rate ⁣cuts⁤ by the federal Reserve, these factors are creating ‍a potent cocktail for gold’s continued ascent. ‌The price rally has ‍already been ⁣significantly boosted by significant ⁤purchases ⁣from central banks and ⁣consistent inflows into gold-based Exchange ⁤Traded Funds ‍(ETFs).

Morgan Stanley analysts⁣ point to the sustained buying by central banks as a‍ key driver, noting a shift in global monetary policy towards de-dollarization. This strategic ⁣move by⁢ nations to hold option reserve assets is​ bolstering gold’s essential value. ⁤ Furthermore, the anticipation of ​interest rate reductions later this year is expected to diminish​ the opportunity cost of​ holding non-yielding assets like gold, further stimulating investment.

Gold has historically⁢ served as a hedge against ⁤inflation and economic uncertainty,and its performance ‍in recent months underscores ⁢this role. ‌As of⁢ June 8, ‍2025, gold is trading ⁢near record highs,​ benefiting from a weakening dollar and increased risk ⁣aversion in global markets. Investors are⁤ closely monitoring⁢ central‌ bank activity and geopolitical developments for further clues about the metal’s ⁢trajectory.

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