“I care less about the provincial, Let’s contain the National Front ”. Guillermo Francos He spoke with Javier Milei At the beginning of the week. The chief of cabinet anticipated the president the eye of Hurricane who was forecast in the Senate, with a battery of opposition projects with fiscal impact. Francos recommended working in A political cordon that will avoid a governance crisis. And Milei, who completely ignores the small thread, agreed on the idea of compensating with politics what the government will never pay with a wallet. He ordered to study the convenience of the provincial agreements Case by case and instructed to prioritize “the National Front”.
Francos, then, activated the phone. He spoke, among others, with the governor of Mendoza, Alfredo Cornejo, which is open to make an electoral agreement with freedom progresses (lla) in its province. The Mendoza does not ask too much: they only do not erase his provincial seal from the ballot. Despite the good will of the chief of cabinet, The fateful previous of the July 9. And it became evident that the bulk of the governors would do it The void to Milei in the national act. That night, Something changed in Olivos.
Strictly speaking, the Casa Rosada had made a cold invitation via mail to the governors to participate with the president of a new vigil in the house of Tucumán. A year ago, in that same place, it had been taken The photo of the “May Pact” by Javier and Karina Milei with 18 governors, Probably the most nourished political postcard of the libertarian era. That day were the leaders of Pro and the UCR, but also several Peronists (for example, the Santiago Gerardo Zamora) and figures that are today enmity with the Milei, such as the head of the Buenos Aires government, Jorge Macri. This year, on the other hand, they accepted the invite no more than four governors. The “forces of heaven” sent the fog, The government suspended the trip to Tucumán and the squalid photo was avoided.
Milei, then, changed plans on holiday and He invited Luis Caputo to dinner at Olivos. In the solitude of the fifth presidential, on Tuesday, the President and his Minister of Economy -The first “Taliban” of the Cabinet- They traced scenarios, They fed conspiracy theories and gave free rein to their instincts “plus ultra.” Both were convinced that the political system wants to “destroy the government” and that All governors “are part of the problem” because “they only think about them.” The two designed a risky roadmap, which includes Do not apply the laws that emanate from Congress, resist based on vetoes and judicializations, endure possible months of “volatility” and bet on the mid -term election To reset the management and start over.
An important government figure summarized it like this: “The new scenario is that a victory in October is what will order everything again.” In 48 hours, Milei went from preventive driving to accelerate thoroughly on a path of curves and countercurvates.
After the black night in the Senate (six opposition projects were sanctioned unanimously), the president said in the Stock Exchange, with well -open eyes: “Guess what … I’m going to veto everything.” He talked about the “fiscal degenerates” of the Congress who voted an increase for retirees and return taxes “to the Argentines of good.” In its new risk sport, the government now needs hold in deputies (The Upper House is lost) The veto of the pension project, the one with the greatest fiscal impact. Mathematics has already been launched in the ruling party: A floor of 72 “heroes” deputies is needed -In the most optimistic calculation- to get the Third Salvador.
When there was a half sanction in deputies, at the beginning of June, the project that increases retirement obtained 142 affirmative votes and 67 votes. Libertarians have to look for those who abstained or absent. While in politics any linear speculation is not very effective, a screenshot of the deputies who are in that group shows the value of the “Toma and Daca” that Milei and the “karinist” wing so much. Who are they going to convince? To the “Radical Peluca” What are there being outside the armed in Misiones and Tucumán? To the unstacked of the MID? O A Pamela Verasay, The deputy of Cornejo who abstained while her political boss awaits the electoral agreement in Mendoza? The Menem say “difficult” when asked about the Cuyano pact.
The mission is not impossible, but requires political doll in a hostile environment. With a particularity: the head of deputies, Martín Menem, It is in turn National Armador and in the negotiations that he faces with his distant cousin, “Lule” Mena, Until now he made few concessions. Just see how they supported the retirement law the three senators who respond to the governor, Gustavo Valdés, A good student from the Casa Rosada who at the last minute saw his agreement with the libertarians in Corrientes wreck. Even more curious is the case of the senator Luis Judge: Confident of Milei and usual diner of the bifes that serve in Olivos, the Cordoba He still did not make the libertarian jealous of his province a place. He voted in favor of the pension project, he said, for a matter of principle.
Inner front
The government faces this moment of vertigo, in addition, with a scenario of strong internal decomposition in the libertarian dome. Santiago Caputo and the Menem until recently argued, but now they are not spoken. On Monday there was a political-parliamentary table meeting and Milei’s star advisor was not. There are those who say that with “lule” they are blocked on WhatsApp. It would not be uncommon: The libertarians have the “goodbye forever”. Just review the anecdote Karina told when a streamer He said “that” in reference to Conan, the dog that accompanied Milei to the Neura channel about ten days ago. The presidential sister recalled: “A person came and told me [en alusión a uno de los perros de los Milei] ‘Where do you want to put that thing?’ I told him ‘You are outside this meeting and you don’t work with me.’ We throw it away. He never returned. ”
Yes, tactical, Caputo ran from parliamentary negotiations, the Menem excluded him from the closure of lists. They want reduce the advisor to his original role as “Guru” and cut your influence. “Santiago is not going to participate in the closures but will be in the communication of the campaign,” they release in the Karinist camp. In the Parravicini room a matte recorded with the registration circulates “Trolls Ministry”. A role to light years of the dawn of the Mileista management, when the whole system understood that talking with Caputo was like talking with Milei.
With his declaration of war to the rest of the world, Milei lowered the hammer in favor of the hard wing of the government that embody Karina and the Menem: they are the ones who prefer pure violet withdrawal before adding allies. “We do not want to suck anyone on a national route,” he synthesized, eloquent, an exegeta of that wing. Francos and Caputo, who have been warning of governance risks, must adapt. “Santiago is, above all, soldier. If Javier wants to fight, he will paint his face,” said someone who knows well the president’s link with his advisor.
With this scenario, they open unknown for young-militants of The forces of heaven, driven by Daniel Parisini (Gordo Dan) and Agustín Romo. They, in addition to pure blood, are caputists. In the closing of lists of the province of Buenos Aires, which expires in a week, they intend to have a candidate for provincial legislator for each electoral section. That is to say, Eight new representatives in the Legislature. The Menem want to give them half. The tweets still trust that Milei will come to bless them.
The president, meanwhile, continues to delegate to Santiago Caputo an important pack of management areas. This week he explained why he frequently forgets to mention the Ministers Mariano Cúneo Libarona (Justice) and Mario Lugones (Health). “I of health and law do nothing,” He excused himself. They are two wallets that handle, from end to end, the presidential advisor. The Head of State also closed ranks with his star advisor for the case of the flight of the private plane of the businessman Leonardo scatturance.
“I know the name, but if I go here I don’t know who it is,” said Milei about Scatturice, even though The entrepreneur is a key link of the government with Trumpism and has influence in multiple areas: From the aeronautical world – Fly Bondi began and would have a look set on the Argentine Air Navigation Company (EANA) – to Arca, the IIF and the SIDE. Milei would not recognize it down the street because The link with Scatturice is another of the “delegated powers” in Caputo.
When in March Carlos Pagni in LN+ He talked about Scatturice’s jet and revealed the Private flight that arrived from Miami with the passenger Laura Belén Arrieta And the suitcases that entered without control by a customs of customs, the Casa Rosada reacted immediately. Manuel Adorni said Arrieta only entered a suitcase and a carry on and accused the journalism of inventing a “factically impossible” story.
At that time, the Government made the official defense before the administrative summary, almost blindly: as it was able to rebuild The nation, newly A week after the denial of Adorni, in the Casa Rosada they saw the videos of the Airport Security Police (PSA) that exhibited Arrieta and the two pilots with ten packages that came out of Aeroparque without going through the scanners. The government continued to defend in case, but had to abound in explanations that it had not given.
They are just some of the curious postcards that are observed in the Mileista Administration, which is choosing to retreat and resist, waiting for popular support. Maybe that shell explains why Milei gave the order to the military house that the press cannot see it when it enters or leaves the Casa Rosada or when he goes to an event. There are more and more fences, screens and corralitos for photographers and chroniclers. Maybe also explain why this week Adorni changed the press conference for the new “Fake, seven eight”, An official streaming program Where, instead of giving explanations for government decisions, he points against journalists. Maybe serve, meanwhile to understand why Alejandro Fantino, One of Milei’s favorite opinion leaders, He revealed an off the record with the Minister of Economy in Neura, A comment that was trimmed and viralized and forced an urgency reaction of the Casa Rosada to avoid pumping in the credibility of the economic plan.
It is, in short, the management of a president who, waiting for a plebiscite at the polls, enrolls himself. Like a hedgehog While declare, day by day, new mandriles enemies
