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Russia-China Trade: Sanctions Drive Up Prices, Relationship Weakens

by Lucas Fernandez – World Editor

Russia Faces steep Price Hikes on Sanctioned Goods,Reports⁢ Show

Helsinki – Russia is​ paying significantly inflated prices for sanctioned goods,particularly from ⁣China,according to recent reports from the Bank‍ of Finland and ‍Capital ⁤Economics.​ The data reveals Russia is​ facing a nearly 90%⁢ price markup on sanctioned products sourced from China, compared to a 9% increase from ⁤other ⁤trading partners.

The Bank⁣ of Finland’s analysis concludes that trade ‌sanctions⁤ are successfully limiting Russia’s ‍access to critical goods. Prices for sanctioned products⁤ overall were‌ 40%⁣ higher⁣ than those of‍ non-sanctioned⁤ items. while China has become a key‌ trade partner ​-​ now accounting for 30% of Russia’s goods exports ⁣and 50% of its imports ⁤- the relationship​ remains asymmetrical, with Russia far more reliant on China economically than vice versa.

China is⁣ more critically important⁢ for‍ Russia economically than ⁢Russia is for China.‌ And Russia wants and needs more from the relationship‍ than China is willing to provide,” Capital Economics stated.

Bilateral trade‍ between Russia and⁤ china experienced ‍a 9% decline during the ‍first nine months of⁣ 2025, following a period of more than doubling between 2020 and 2024. Capital Economics also​ noted limited expansion of Chinese supply chains within​ Russia and constrained foreign ⁤direct investment, potentially​ due to Chinese firms’ concerns about Western sanctions.

These findings emerge as the Kremlin reportedly proposes business ⁤deals ⁣with the U.S. as part of ​ongoing talks to end the Ukraine⁤ war and lift⁢ sanctions. Simultaneously, Russia’s wartime economy is showing signs of ‌strain, hampered by production bottlenecks,‌ labor shortages, and a lack of Western technology.

Alexandra⁢ prokopenko, a fellow at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center and former Russian central bank advisor, wrote in Foreign Affairs ‌ last month that a more thorough war footing – similar to ​that seen during World War II – ⁢would be⁢ required‍ to ⁣substantially increase military production or personnel. This would necessitate directing all available resources toward military ‌needs ⁤or ⁤commandeering civilian production lines.

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