Yankees-orioles Underdog Bet Offers Value in ALDS
NEW YORK, NY – A strategic wager on Baltimore Orioles pitcher Kevin Gausman to record under 6.5 strikeouts in his upcoming ALDS start presents a compelling opportunity for bettors, according to New york Post handicapper Sean Treppedi. The pick, currently priced at -138 on FanDuel, leverages observed trends in Gausman’s performance and market value analysis.
Treppedi’s assessment centers on Gausman’s reliance on opponents chasing pitches outside the strike zone. Statcast data reveals the Orioles’ opponent chase rate is the lowest in the game at 25.5%. without that crucial element, Gausman’s limited repertoire leaves him vulnerable. This analysis suggests a potential for fewer strikeouts than the 6.5 threshold set by oddsmakers.
“There’s enough market value on the Under here to take the price,” Treppedi stated,indicating the odds offer a favorable return relative to the perceived probability of the outcome.
THE PLAY: Kevin Gausman Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-138, FanDuel)
Sean Treppedi specializes in identifying picks that align with market value and mitigate risk through trend analysis across the NFL, NHL, MLB, and college football. His insights aim to provide informed betting recommendations for New York Post readers.