Coalition Faces Internal Revolt Over Potential Abandonment of Net Zero Target
CANBERRA – the Australian Liberal Party is bracing for a potential internal fracture as moderate mps consider drastic measures, including resigning to the backbench, if the Coalition abandons its commitment to net zero emissions. The escalating tensions stem from pressure from the Nationals, the Coalition’s junior partner, to weaken or scrap the target, a move widely condemned as a setback for climate action.
The debate underscores a deepening rift within the Coalition over climate policy, threatening to further alienate voters in urban seats and among younger demographics. A former Liberal strategist warns that adopting the Nationals’ position risks cementing the Coalition’s image as “climate change deniers,” making it increasingly tough to win support in key electoral areas.
The prospect of a policy shift emerged as Nationals leader Barnaby Joyce continues to exert influence over the Coalition’s direction. Several moderate Liberals, including Dave Sharma, have reportedly discussed splitting from the Nationals should they refuse to compromise on emissions reduction targets. While such a split is considered unlikely, the very discussion highlights the level of discontent within the party.
Senior Liberals are now strategizing on how to present any revised position to the public, aiming to reassure voters – particularly those in city electorates – that the party remains committed to addressing climate change. However, Tony Barry, a former Liberal strategist wiht Redbridge Group, cautioned that this will be a notable challenge.
“What makes the communication challenge more difficult is that even if the Liberal party are right about the physics of energy transition, they are at risk of losing the politics of energy by effectively adopting Barnaby Joyce’s position and that’s going to be very hard to overcome in those urban seats where they’re currently not competitive,” Barry said. “Because Barnaby is box-office poison in urban seats and with younger voters in particular.”
The internal turmoil comes as Australia faces increasing pressure to meet its international climate commitments and transition to a cleaner energy economy. The potential abandonment of the net zero target raises concerns about the country’s future role in global climate efforts and its ability to attract investment in renewable energy technologies.