Coalition’s Future Uncertain as Thai Political Tensions Flare
Fragile Alliance Faces Internal Struggles
Tensions are escalating within Thailand’s ruling coalition, placing the future of the government in doubt. The uneasy alliance between the Pheu Thai party and conservative factions is fracturing. The clash between these groups has created significant political instability.
Power Struggles Erupt
The coalition, led by Paetongtarn, 38, is struggling to maintain unity. Recently, the Pheu Thai party sought to remove the interior minister, a move that ignited fresh conflict. This attempt to take control from Anutin Charnvirakul and his Bhumjaithai party has weakened the government.
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The Pheu Thai coalition now has only a narrow majority, holding just a few more votes than the 248 needed. This precarious position highlights the fragility of the current political landscape in Thailand.
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The Thai political scene has been dominated by the clash between the pro-royal establishment and the movement of Thaksin for over two decades. Data from the World Bank indicates that political instability can negatively impact economic growth, with a projected decrease in GDP of around 1% during periods of heightened uncertainty (World Bank, 2024).
Decades-Long Political Divide
The former Manchester City owner Thaksin, now 75, continues to enjoy backing from rural areas. These areas benefited from the populist policies he implemented in the early 2000s. He is, however, viewed unfavorably by Thailand’s elites.
The elites consider his leadership to have been corrupt and socially disruptive. This clash reflects the broader political and social divisions within the nation. The current government has already seen one prime minister removed.
Former businessman Srettha Thavisin was forced out of office last year. This court order paved the way for Paetongtarn to assume leadership.
The ongoing struggles within the coalition point to a complex and potentially volatile political future. The government’s survival hinges on its ability to manage these internal conflicts. The political landscape remains uncertain.
