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Nebius (NBIS) Stock Analysis: Bullish Thesis & Growth Potential

by David Harrison – Chief Editor

Nebius Group ⁤N.V. ⁤(NBIS) Stock Soars on Explosive Growth, Analysts See Multibagger Potential

NEW YORK, NY‍ – November 15, 2024 – Nebius Group ‍N.V. (NBIS) continues to demonstrate rapid growth⁢ in the ⁤AI infrastructure space, prompting analysts ⁣to ⁢revisit bullish theses despite capital intensity⁢ and competitive pressures. The company’s⁤ stock has ​appreciated ‍approximately 224%⁣ since​ April​ 2024, fueled‍ by strong⁣ execution⁤ and increasing ​investor confidence.

Nebius’s business model centers‌ on ‍a cycle ⁣of superior infrastructure performance⁢ driving revenue ​growth, which then supports​ margin expansion⁢ and reinvestment in research ⁤& development and verticalization. Recent data ⁢indicates improving gross margins ⁣compared to competitor Coreweave,though a durable advantage remains to be‍ established.

Revenues surged to $105.1 million in the latest quarter, a 625% year-over-year increase,⁣ with ⁣a current run-rate revenue of $430 million – tripling ⁤Coreweave’s⁢ growth rate. However, operating profit⁣ and free cash flow are currently pressured by substantial capital expenditures related to GPU scaling and depreciation; $510 million was spent on these in Q2 alone.

Management has raised its Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) guidance to⁤ $900 million-$1.1 billion by year-end and plans to expand ⁢capacity to 220 MW this year, with a ⁣target exceeding 1 GW by 2026. Key enterprise wins include Shopify,Prosus,and​ Cloudflare,alongside ⁣traction with AI-native startups.

Analysts at MMMT⁢ Wealth previously outlined a bullish ‍thesis⁤ on ⁢Nebius in April​ 2024, highlighting GPU deployment plans and perceived undervaluation. Lorenzo ​Bastianelli shares a similar⁢ optimistic outlook, emphasizing the importance of monitoring margins, cash ⁣burn,​ and competitive ‍dynamics.

While acknowledging risks related to cash burn and competition from hyperscalers, analysts⁢ believe Nebius ⁣offers leveraged⁢ exposure to the ​AI ‌infrastructure cycle with ​significant optionality.Even achieving 80% ⁢of guided growth over the ​next⁣ 12 months would leave the ‍stock attractively valued, ​with potential for a multibagger outcome​ if Nebius sustains its ⁣current momentum.

As of the end of the first⁣ quarter, 51 hedge fund portfolios‌ held NBIS, down from 66 in the‌ previous quarter. Nebius ​is not currently included on Insider Monkey’s list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds.

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