Warriors Aim to Close Out Series Against Rockets in Game 6
SAN FRANCISCO — May 3, 2024 — The Golden State Warriors are set to play the Houston Rockets in Game 6, aiming to end the series. The Warriors are at home,leading the series 3-2,while the Rockets aim to become only the 14th team in NBA history to overcome a 3-1 series deficit. Tonight’s Warriors game carries high stakes, with the potential of facing a Game 7 in Houston if the Warriors lose. For insights on the game, read on.
Warriors Aim to Close out series Against Rockets in Game 6
The Golden State Warriors are looking to avoid becoming another statistic as they face the Houston Rockets in Game 6. Houston, trailing 3-2, aims to become only the 14th team in NBA history to overcome a 3-1 series deficit. The looming Game 7 would be in Houston, adding pressure on Golden State to secure a win tonight.
warriors favored at Home
Despite a poor showing in Game 5, oddsmakers have installed the Warriors as favorites for Friday night’s game. A potential advantage for Golden State is that coach Steve Kerr managed to limit the minutes of key players Steph Curry and Jimmy Butler, both playing less than 26 minutes in the previous contest.
Pro Tip
Resting key players in a loss can be a strategic move, preserving energy for a crucial close-out game. Will this strategy pay off for the Warriors?
The question is: Does this rest advantage help Golden State in a close-out game at home? The answer is likely yes, setting the stage for strategic bets and prop market considerations, particularly for Steph Curry and Jalen Green.
Picks and Predictions
Golden State warriors-Steph Curry Parlay (-121) – 0.5 unit
- Golden State Warriors moneyline: Despite an “ugly” Game 5, golden State is 2-0 at home in this series. The team’s veteran experience suggests they will bounce back.
- Houston’s Offensive struggles: The Rockets have struggled with shooting, relying heavily on offensive rebounding.
- Clutch-Time Performance: The Warriors have consistently won in clutch moments, while the Rockets had the worst clutch-time field goal percentage in the regular season.
The Warriors’ experience is a significant factor, as historically, teams leading 3-1 in a series win over 95% of the time. It’s extremely hard to beat a team three times in a row when trailing in a series.
The expectation is that Golden State will secure the win tonight.
Steph Curry 20+ Points
Betting on Curry to score 20 or more points aligns with the Warriors’ moneyline pick. Curry has scored 20+ points in three of the five games in the series.
Despite being held to 17 and 13 points in his last two games, The usage is always going to be there for the former Final MVP, as he’s taken at least 12 shots and eight 3-pointers in every game.
Curry’s usage is expected to increase,and his regular-season average of 24.5 points per game supports this bet. His Game 3 performance, where he scored 36 points, further reinforces this expectation.
Jalen Green UNDER 15.5 Points (-110) – 0.5 unit
Houston guard jalen Green has had a tough series, with only one standout performance of 38 points in Game 2.
Green averaged 21.0 points per game in the regular season, but he has scored less than 10 points in three games in this series, failing to clear 15.5 points on four occasions.
In fact, outside of his 38-point game in Game 2, Green has just 35 total points in the rest of the series. Not great.
Coach Ime Udoka has reduced green’s minutes,playing him less than 28 minutes in each of the last two games.Green is shooting poorly, with just 38.8% from the field and 33.3% from deep in this series.
Did You Know?
Jalen Green’s performance significantly impacts the Rockets’ offensive capabilities. His struggles in this series highlight the importance of consistent scoring from key players.
