Middle East Funds Fuel Growing Debt Mountain

by Priya Shah – Business Editor

Gulf states are pressing ahead with plans for new bond offerings despite recent volatility in debt markets, according to sources familiar with the matter. The move signals continued confidence in the region’s financial stability and appetite for capital, even as global economic headwinds intensify.

Saudi Arabia’s $925 billion sovereign wealth fund is among the issuers preparing to tap debt markets, Reuters reported in April 2025. This activity comes as Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) are increasingly diversifying their investment strategies, shifting towards fixed income investments like government and corporate bonds as a safer haven amid global uncertainty.

According to a recent study by Invesco, Middle East SWFs are becoming more cautious and strategic in their investments, responding to rising political tensions, economic uncertainty and changing global markets. Approximately 30% of these funds intend to increase their bond allocations this year, while also boosting investments in private credit – lending directly to companies outside of public markets.

The surge in private credit is particularly notable. Funds like the Public Investment Fund (PIF) of Saudi Arabia, the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA), Abu Dhabi Developmental Holding Company PJSC (ADQ), and Mubadala have partnered with global credit houses to access attractive risk-adjusted returns. This trend reflects a broader effort to diversify away from reliance on hydrocarbon wealth and seek new sources of income.

China remains a key investment destination for Middle Eastern SWFs, with 60% planning to increase investments there over the next five years. The focus is shifting towards high-growth technology sectors, including artificial intelligence, electric vehicles, and renewable energy. This strategic pivot underscores the region’s long-term vision for economic diversification and technological advancement.

While traditional “passive” investing remains prevalent, many sovereign investors are adopting more “active” strategies. This shift suggests a desire for greater control and potentially higher returns in a more complex and volatile global investment landscape. The increased interest in private credit, in particular, highlights a willingness to explore alternative asset classes and capture on more risk in pursuit of attractive yields.

Deloitte reports that the adoption of private credit in the Middle East has more than doubled since 2019, with assets under management exceeding US$2 trillion. This growth is anticipated to continue, leading to increased transactions, regulatory requirements, and investor transparency within the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC).

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