FOXBOROUGH,MA – June 12,2025 - New England Patriots running back TreVeyon Henderson is poised to exceed expectations in teh upcoming fantasy football season,according to a new analysis,perhaps becoming a top-15 performer at his position. The projection arrives as fantasy football enthusiasts begin preparing for their drafts,and Henderson’s draft stock remains a subject of debate.
The assessment centers on Henderson’s projected workload and efficiency within the Patriots’ offense. While concerns about his past injury history persist, a statistical review of his college career and a realistic projection of his role in New England suggest a path to notable fantasy production. This analysis is notably relevant for players in PPR (points per reception) leagues, where Henderson’s receiving ability could be a key differentiator.
Henderson’s 2019 season at Ohio state provides a compelling baseline. despite limited touches – 139 in total – he amassed 72 receptions, demonstrating his pass-catching skills. This ability is especially valuable given the current landscape of the Patriots’ receiving corps. The analysis suggests that Henderson could reasonably achieve 150 carries and 60 receptions across 15 games,assuming an average of 14 touches per contest.
Projecting further, if Henderson averages 4.5 yards per carry and 8.0 yards per catch, he could accumulate 675 rushing yards and 480 receiving yards. These benchmarks are demonstrably attainable; in 2024, 19 running backs averaged at least 4.5 yards per carry (with a minimum of 100 rushes),and 17 averaged over 8 yards per catch (with at least 30 receptions). Six running backs achieved both, including rookie Bucky Irving.
Adding a conservative estimate of seven touchdowns, Henderson’s total fantasy points in a PPR format would reach 217.5 - exceeding the five-year average for an RB15 finish by 0.1 points. Historically, this point total would have delivered at least RB15 value in 15 of the last 24 seasons.
Despite past injury concerns – Henderson missed eight games during his four-year career at Ohio State (playing in 47 of 55 possible games, an 85% participation rate) – the analysis frames these as isolated incidents. Three games were missed as a junior due to a rib injury sustained in a game against Notre Dame, and five as a sophomore due to a broken foot. He averaged 14.2 touches per game in his appearances.
“It never worked out for him health-wise at Ohio State on Saturdays…” was a concern raised regarding Henderson’s durability. However, the author of this analysis intends to draft Henderson as early as Round 4 in upcoming 12-team leagues, confident in his potential to deliver on his fantasy hype.
(Photo of TreVeyon Henderson: Brad Rempel-Imagn Images)
