ECB Raises Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points to Combat Inflation
On September 10, 2026, the Governing Council of the European Central Bank decided to raise its three key interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the deposit facility, main refinancing operations, and marginal lending facility rates to 2.50%, 2.65%, and 2.90% respectively, with an effective date of September 16, 2026. According to Dow Jones Newswires, the policy adjustment comes as ongoing conflict in the Middle East continues to generate intense inflation pressures across the euro area.
Macroeconomic Projections and Inflation Outlook
The updated baseline projections from ECB staff see headline inflation averaging 3.0% in 2026, 2.5% in 2027, and 2.1% in 2028. For metrics excluding energy and food, staff models foresee figures of 2.5% in 2026, 2.6% in 2027, and 2.3% in 2028. Compared with projections released in June, the baseline expectation for 2026 headline inflation remains unchanged, while figures for 2027 and 2028 have been revised upward.
This upward revision primarily reflects the greater-than-expected resilience of the euro area economy. Despite this resilience, the overall economic outlook remains highly uncertain, characterized by upside risks to inflation and downside risks to growth.
Monetary Policy Transmission and Asset Portfolios
To navigate these complex headwinds, the Governing Council intends to follow a data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach without pre-committing to a specific rate path.

Regarding asset management, the asset purchase programme (APP) and pandemic emergency purchase programme (PEPP) portfolios continue to decline at a measured and predictable pace. The Eurosystem has ceased reinvesting principal payments from maturing securities across both portfolios.
The Governing Council affirmed its readiness to adjust all instruments within its mandate to secure the 2% medium-term inflation target. Additionally, the Transmission Protection Instrument remains available to counter unwarranted, disorderly market dynamics that threaten monetary policy transmission across all euro area member states.
Disclaimer: The views and cultural analyses presented in this article are for informational and entertainment purposes only. Information regarding legal disputes or financial data is based on available public records.
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