Chinese Auto Sales In Europe Could Peak At 15%

by Priya Shah – Business Editor

Here’s a summary of ​the key details from the provided text⁣ regarding Chinese automakers ​in the European market:

* Rapid Growth: Chinese manufacturers have substantially increased their market share ⁣in ⁤Europe, jumping from less than 1% in 2021 to approximately 6.6% last year, and ‌projected to reach 11-12% by 2028. Estimates range up to‌ 15% by 2030-2035 (Berenberg)⁢ or at least⁢ 15% by 2030 (UBS).
* EV ⁢Focus: This⁣ growth is ⁤primarily driven by⁣ electric ⁤vehicles (EVs), but Chinese⁣ manufacturers also offer hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles.
* Impact on European Automakers: The gains⁢ have largely come at the ⁣expense of‌ european ‍carmakers, reducing their market share from 71%‌ in 2021 to 66.5% in 2025. Stellantis ⁢has been identified as the biggest‍ loser so far.
* small Car Segment: European manufacturers are holding relatively well in the small car segment, where Chinese automakers are gaining share from‌ other Asian and US brands. This segment is​ still largely dominated by ICE vehicles.
* Competitive EVs: A lack of affordable, competitive European EVs (priced at or below €25,000/$29,300) has contributed to the Chinese gains.
* Tariffs: The european Union imposed tariffs of up to 35.3% on ⁣chinese EVs in October 2024 due⁣ to concerns about unfair state subsidies. These tariffs vary by manufacturer (SAIC: ⁣35.3%, Geely: 18.8%, BYD: 17%).
* Potential pricing⁤ Agreement: The tariff agreement may be replaced by ⁢a ‌minimum pricing agreement,details of which are still being negotiated.

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