Tropical Wave Near Africa Under Close Watch as hurricane Season Remains Quiet
MIAMI – A tropical wave currently located off the west coast of Africa is being closely monitored by the National Hurricane Center (NHC), though conditions remain unfavorable for significant progress in the short term. Despite a slower-then-average start to the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, forecasters emphasize there is still plenty of time for activity to increase before November.
The NHC is assessing the wave for potential institution, but dry air and strong wind shear are currently inhibiting its ability to strengthen. While the Atlantic basin has seen a notable lack of named storms thus far – only three as of late September – experts caution that conditions can change rapidly. Historically, the peak of hurricane season runs through October, and the potential for development remains.
Beyond the African wave, meteorologists are also tracking the return of the Central American Gyre (CAG), a broad area of low pressure that forms over Central America in the spring and early fall. The CAG can generate locally heavy rainfall and contribute to the formation of tropical cyclones. The latest outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center indicate a heightened potential for development in this region through mid to late september.
The CAG is a key feature to watch as it can act as a breeding ground for tropical systems, even while the broader Atlantic remains relatively quiet. Forecasters will continue to monitor both the African wave and the CAG for any signs of increased organization and potential threats to landmasses.
