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Aryadan Shoukath wrests seat from LDF, rides anti-incumbency wave

Congress Triumphs in Nilambur By-Election

In a stunning upset, the United Democratic Front (UDF) candidate, Aryadan Shoukath, has secured victory in the Nilambur by-election. Early reports from vote-counting centers show Shoukath with a commanding lead, signaling a major shift in the political landscape and a blow to the incumbent party’s stronghold.

Shoukath Cruises to Victory

Reports from the counting centers indicate that Shoukath has amassed an undeniable lead of over 11,000 votes. This win marks the third time the Congress party has won a Nilambur bypoll, with prior victories in 1970 and 1980. Shoukath overcame a spirited challenge from independent candidate P. V. Anvar in the initial rounds.

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Recent data shows the UDF has gained significant ground in the region, reflecting a nationwide trend where voter turnout in by-elections remains high, demonstrating persistent engagement in local politics. (Source: [Insert Reputable Source Here] 2024).

Key Factors in the Election

The Nilambur by-election also deviated from the pattern of recent bypolls. While the UDF and LDF held onto their seats in Palakkad and Chelakkara bypolls held in 2024, this result indicates a change. The Congress also secured the Thrikkakkara bypoll in 2022, where Uma Thomas won with a record majority.

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Aryadan Shoukath wrests seat from LDF, rides anti-incumbency wave
Congress leaders elated after Aryadan Shoukath comfortable lead in Nilambur byelection. Photo: Manoj Chemancheri/Manorama

The significant dip in vote share experienced by LDF candidate M. Swaraj in key areas disappointed the CPM. This loss of support in traditionally strong areas suggests a strong anti-incumbency sentiment among voters. When the Congress’s vote share fell in other areas, CPM hoped to gain, but the decline in Nilambur and Pothukallu solidified Shoukath’s advantage.

What’s Next

The by-election occurred due to a dispute between former MLA P. V. Anvar and the CPM. As the current government nears the end of its term, the Nilambur contest became a contest for both the CPM-led LDF and the Congress-led UDF.

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