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Week 4 NFL Rooting Guide: Who Patriots Fans Should Support

Week 4 NFL Rooting Guide: Who Patriots Fans Should Support

October 2, 2026 Alex Carter - Sports Editor Sport

Heading into Week 4 of the 2026 NFL regular season, the New England Patriots prepare to face the Buffalo Bills on Sunday at 1:00 p.m. ET, aiming to claw back to a .500 record at 2-2. While that matchup anchors the local schedule, patspulpit.com reported that fans tracking the AFC playoff picture must track 15 other games across the slate, balancing division tiebreakers, draft capital impacts, and strength of schedule arithmetic.

Steelers-Browns Outcome Shapes Early Tiebreaker Math

The Pittsburgh Steelers travel to take on the Cleveland Browns in an AFC North clash that directly affects New England’s ledger. Patspulpit.com reported that Patriots fans should root for the Steelers in this 2-1 versus 2-1 matchup. New England already holds a head-to-head victory over Pittsburgh from earlier in the season. A Steelers win strengthens that specific scalp, boosting New England’s strength of schedule and victory tiebreakers down the line.

AFC Contenders Versus NFC Opponents on the Week 4 Slate

A recurring strategic theme for New England supporters involves backing NFC teams whenever they play direct conference rivals. Patspulpit.com reported that games like the Indianapolis Colts visiting the Washington Commanders or the Tennessee Titans facing the Baltimore Ravens require calculated rooting interests based on conference standing. Backing the Washington Commanders over the Indianapolis Colts helps keep an AFC foe down in the standings. Similarly, rooting for the Tennessee Titans against the Baltimore Ravens positions the lower-ranked team to disrupt conference hierarchy.

In other cross-conference pairings, the New York Jets travel to face the Chicago Bears, where patspulpit.com noted that rooting for the Chicago Bears aligns with the standard preference for an NFC victor. Even though the highest fifth-round pick for New England belongs to Philadelphia as part of the A.J. Brown trade, conference positioning dictates the rooting interest. The Jacksonville Jaguars face the Cincinnati Bengals in a battle of 2-1 teams, where patspulpit.com urged fans to back the Cincinnati Bengals because the Jacksonville Jaguars currently hold potential head-to-head tiebreaker advantages over New England.

Draft Capital and Strength of Schedule Implications

Beyond immediate standings, multiple games carry secondary value tied to traded draft picks and strength of schedule metrics. Patspulpit.com reported that the Dallas Cowboys playing the Houston Texans offers a dual benefit if the Cowboys win, keeping an AFC rival suppressed while potentially improving the position of the sixth-round draft pick acquired in the Marte Mapu trade. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Falcons play the New Orleans Saints, where every Saints loss directly increases the value of the sixth-round pick New England acquired from the Ja’Lynn Polk trade, as patspulpit.com detailed.

Other games focus purely on conference mathematics without direct draft ramifications. Patspulpit.com noted that the Green Bay Packers playing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers is a clear strength of schedule play favoring the Packers, while the Miami Dolphins facing the Minnesota Vikings matters because a Dolphins loss drops them to 0-4 against an NFC opponent. In matchups featuring unbeaten AFC heavyweights, the Kansas City Chiefs meet the Las Vegas Raiders. Patspulpit.com reported that because both teams sit on New England’s schedule and Kansas City projects as a primary conference contender, a Raiders win represents the preferred outcome for the Patriots.

Unresolved Standings Questions as Sunday Approaches

As the early-season sample size remains thin, the long-term impact of games like the Los Angeles Chargers facing the Seattle Seahawks or the Denver Broncos meeting the San Francisco 49ers remains difficult to project. Patspulpit.com observed that while picking NFC teams over AFC teams like the Seahawks and 49ers generally aids conference positioning, the ultimate effect on New England’s strength of victory will not settle until December. Kickoff times arrive Sunday, leaving the exact shifts in the AFC playoff race entirely unwritten.

Disclaimer: The insights provided in this article are for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute medical advice or sports betting recommendations.

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