UK Net Migration Set to fall to Pre-brexit Levels, Despite Public Dissatisfaction
London – New figures indicate that UK net migration is projected to decline to approximately 300,000, nearing levels seen before Brexit, even as public discontent regarding immigration remains high. The anticipated drop comes amid ongoing political debate and increased financial strain on the Home Office due to rising numbers of small boat arrivals.
A recent survey reveals that 73% of those dissatisfied with the government’s immigration policies believe it is indeed not doing enough to prevent migrant crossings of the English Channel. Further concerns center on perceptions of generosity towards migrants and asylum seekers (65%) and the volume of asylum claims (63%).
Sunder Katwala, director of British Future, noted the disconnect between the falling numbers and the political rhetoric. “Net migration is falling…yet our political debate hasn’t caught up. As numbers move closer to ‘normal’ levels, politicians can’t just keep competing over who will cut them further,” he said. “The risk for Keir Starmer’s government…is that constant crisis messaging only reinforces the public belief that asylum and immigration are out of control.”
The projected decline in net migration is set to be officially released alongside news of a further £1.4bn in spending required by the Home Office. This increase is attributed to a nearly 20% rise in small boat arrivals and an 8% increase in asylum seekers requiring supported accomodation, according to a document released by the office for Budget Obligation (OBR) prior to Wednesday’s budget.
The Home Office has been contacted for comment.
