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support and resistance levels

Business

Nifty Ends Lower: Key Levels & Volatility Rise – Weekly Market Analysis

by Priya Shah – Business Editor February 14, 2026
written by Priya Shah – Business Editor

India’s Nifty 50 index closed lower on Friday, February 13, 2026, marking a net loss of 222.60 points, or 0.87%, for the week, settling at 25,471.10, according to data from the Economic Times and the National Stock Exchange of India.

The index experienced a volatile week, initially attempting to rally towards 26,009 but failing to sustain momentum. Selling pressure intensified in the latter half of the week, pushing the Nifty to an intra-week low of 25,444 before stabilizing near the lower end of its 565-point trading range. The Nifty Bank index declined by 0.91% while the Nifty 500 fell by 1.43% over the same period.

Market volatility increased, with the India VIX rising sharply by 11.33% to 13.29, indicating growing investor nervousness. Analysts at Equity Research Asia note the index has slipped below its 20-week moving average of 25,728 and is currently hovering above the 50-week moving average at 24,931, establishing a critical intermediate support zone.

Technical indicators suggest a potential corrective phase within a broader medium-term uptrend. The price action over recent weeks resembles a distribution phase near recent highs, with the index now testing the lower boundary of a falling trend line. A sustained breach below the 24,900–24,950 level could trigger a deeper retracement towards the 24,350–24,400 region, while a decisive move above 25,800–26,000 would be needed to negate the current weakness.

The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 50.17, having slipped below recent peaks and entering neutral territory, with no clear bullish or bearish divergence observed. The weekly Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains above the zero line but below its signal line, signaling a loss of upward momentum. The latest candlestick pattern is bearish, suggesting increasing supply at higher levels.

Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) indicate the Nifty PSE Sector Index is currently in a leading quadrant, potentially outperforming the broader market. The IT index is also in the leading quadrant but is showing signs of losing momentum. Other sectors within the leading quadrant include Services, Bank Nifty, PSU Bank, Metal, and Financial Services. Conversely, the Auto and Midcap 100 indices are in the weakening quadrant, while the Infrastructure Index is improving its relative momentum. The Nifty Pharma and FMCG indices are lagging, though the Realty Index is showing some improvement.

Analysts recommend a cautious and stock-specific approach, advising against aggressive buying until the index either reclaims the 25,800 level or stabilizes around the 24,900–24,950 support zone. Prioritizing the protection of existing gains and disciplined risk management are considered crucial in the coming week.

February 14, 2026 0 comments
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