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“But literally a month later there was a sharp increase in retail prices in neighboring countries and Russia. As a result, already in the autumn, despite the increase in diesel fuel production, we faced an acute shortage of it,” the acting director noted. energy minister.
– This year the price disparity remains. As a result, in March we see an increase in consumption, which is already 15% compared to the corresponding period last year, Akchulakov said.
“In such a situation, diesel fuel will definitely “leak” to other countries and in a larger volume. We may face a shortage of diesel fuel in the amount of 850,000 tons,” the acting head emphasized. head of the energy department.
At the same time, he noted that if earlier the deficit was covered by increasing production volumes, now refineries are working at the limit of their capabilities. According to the speaker, one should not count on a significant increase in the production of diesel fuel and fuels and lubricants in the next 6 years, since the Shymkent refinery reconstruction project will be carried out during this period.
“Thus, Kazakhstan, with its cheap fuel, actually subsidizes the economy of other countries to the detriment of its own national interests,” B. Akchulakov summed up.
“The Week” presents the live broadcast of the Saudi Al-Faisaly and Iranian Foolad match in the AFC Champions League today, Monday 2-20-2023.
Where the first football team of the Saudi Al-Faisaly Club will face its Iranian counterpart, Foolad Khuzestan, this evening, Monday, February 20, at “Al-Thumama” stadium, within the framework of the sixteenth round of the AFC Champions League 2022-2023.
The Saudi Al-Faisaly enters the match, leading the competitions of Group E of the AFC Champions League, after winning 9 points from 6 matches, ahead of Uzbekistan’s Nasaf Karshi, by goal difference, which is an opportunity for the Saudi club to reconcile its fans and supporters, after a series of negative results recently in the Saudi First Division, In which the Saudi team occupies fifth place with 37 points, 6 points behind leaders Al Hazm.
On the other hand, Foolad Khuzestan also succeeded in topping Group C with 12 points, after winning three matches and drawing in the same.
Goalkeeper: Ahmed Al-Kassar.
Defense line: Khaled Daghriri, Walid Al-Ahmad, Igor Rossi, Muhammad Al-Nakhilan.
Midfield: Abdel Aziz Al-Sharid, Hisham Fayek, Merkel Alexander, Guillerme Augusto, Ahmed Ashraf.
Offensive line: Julio Tavares.
The events of the Al-Faisaly and Foolad Khuzestan match begin today, Monday, at exactly five o’clock in the evening, Egypt, Sudan and Palestine time, six o’clock in the evening Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Lebanon, Bahrain and Iraq, seven o’clock in the Emirates and Oman time, four o’clock in Tunisia, Morocco and Algeria.
The management of the Saudi SSC Channels Network owns the rights to broadcast and broadcast the AFC Champions League matches in the Middle East and North Africa, so the Al-Faisaly match against Foolad Khuzestan will be broadcast this evening, through its encrypted channels. The match will be broadcast on Abu Dhabi Sports Asia 1.
The high price of coking coal combined with weak demand from downstream steel mills has resulted in an overall low coke price in recent months, and the cost of coke has reversed significantly. However, towards the end of the year, with the implementation of the fourth round of price increases in recent days, Jiaoqi may emerge from the loss situation as a whole.
Coke lift and four wheel landing
On December 27, black commodities in the domestic futures market were generally red, and the main contract on coke 2305 was up 2.89%, which had finished up 2.93% the previous day.
According to news reports, the fourth round of the coke market increase will be fully implemented on December 22. The price of wet quenching will increase by 100 yuan/ton, and the price of dry quenching will increase by 110 yuan/ton. the secondary main price is 2650-2750 yuan/ton. According to data from Baichuan Yingfu, the coke market was operating steadily on December 27, and the secondary major price was 2650-2750 yuan/ton.
In 2022, the domestic market price of coke will rise and fall, and the profitability of coke enterprises has not been good since the second half of the year.
In the first three quarters of this year, Antai Group’s net profit loss was 63.5991 million yuan, of which the loss in the third quarter reached 177 million yuan. As for the reason for the big loss in the third quarter performance, the company had announced that the market price of the main product coke first increased and then decreased, while the coal-fired coke market showed a structurally tight pattern and the price has risen sharply; the downstream demand for steel products was insufficient, and the sales The price continued to decline and fluctuated at a low level. Although the company has taken measures to reduce costs, it has not been able to offset the impact of purchases and sales. The company’s profit margin has been reduced, and the profits of major products have been at a low level in recent years.
Also in the third quarter, Shanxi Black Cat lost 196 million yuan, dragging its net profit in the first three quarters to 240 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 82.07%.
The company also said the sharp year-over-year decline in third-quarter performance was due to the fact that the year-over-year increase in the price of coke, the company’s main commodity, was not as high as that of raw materials. clean coal material, resulting in a year-over-year decline in profits.
However, with the recent four consecutive rounds of price increases, Jiaoqi’s profits have finally recovered.
According to Baichuan Yingfu’s analysis, the coke oven enterprises’ profits have been restored, and most of them have turned their losses into profits. Market confidence has improved, coke enterprises have gradually increased production, and the overall operating rate has been increased. Coke shipments are generally regular, and the inventory in the coke enterprises is still mostly at a low level. In some areas, it is difficult to find truck drivers, which leads to a decrease in transportation efficiency and a slight accumulation of warehouses. At present, the demand for coke from downstream blast furnaces is acceptable and they are actively buying. Steel mill coke inventory is currently broadly low to medium, and enthusiasm for winter storage and replenishment is high.
Downstream is facing a “weak reality” and the coke price is stable in the near term
While the price of coke continues to rise, the downstream steel price trend is weak and the profits of the steel companies are compressed and essentially lose money.
Wang Yingguang, a senior analyst at Lange Iron and Steel Network, said that as the cost of steel production has risen, steel mill losses have continued to expand, so steel supply has remained relatively low. According to data from the China Iron and Steel Industry Association, as of mid-December, the main statistical steel enterprises produced a total of 19.6382 million tons of crude steel and 19.1551 million tons of steel products. Among them, the daily production of crude steel was 1.9638 million tons, down 1.15% from the previous month.
In addition, the social inventory of steel is also at a relatively low level. According to monitoring data from the Lange Iron and Steel Cloud Business Platform, the social inventory of steel products in 29 key cities across the country was 7.934 million tons on December 23, a decrease of 30,000 tons from the previous week; a decrease of 573,000 tons compared to the same period last year, a decrease of 6.74%.
Wang Yingguang believes that the current steel market is still facing the contradiction between “strong expectations and weak reality”. While the market is optimistic about further improving expectations, it also promotes the continued strength of the black market, but the ability to accept expensive resources is limited. From a spot perspective, steel prices are still difficult to break down and are expected to fluctuate slightly or continue to follow the market to continue the bullish game.
As for the price development of the coke market, Dayue Futures believes that after the implementation of the four rounds of coke price increases, the profits of the coke companies have been restored to a certain extent. However, considering the recent interference of the epidemic, some coke enterprises in the production area are not willing to increase production, it is still a little tight, and the supply demand is better. However, the online auction market for raw coal failed the auctions and the auction prices of some types of coal fell, which weakened the support for the spot price of coke. Coke is expected to work temporarily soon term.
According to Dongxing Futures’ analysis, the off-season characteristics of finished material consumption are evident, and both production and demand have decreased. Building materials and panels have accumulated, and cement shipments have decreased. Downstream may continue to accumulate in the near future. Steel mills experienced a monthly decrease of 9,500 tons of molten iron, increased coking coal stock replenishment, four rounds of lift and off, and steel mill stock growth slowed. Coke enterprise profits continued to recover: Affected by the epidemic, the operating rate increased slightly to 73.4%, while coke enterprise inventories continued to decline, and supply and demand continued to be limited.
Affected by the epidemic and the completion of production at the end of the year, the decline in coking coal mine production has widened. Production before the year may continue to be low, coal mine inventory continues to decrease, downstream supply It is obvious, the steel products transaction weakened, the price of coking coal fluctuated at a high level, and some auctions failed. Safety inspection may become more stringent before the end of the year, short-term supply may remain low, the downstream consumer side will weaken, and restocking demand will bring support in place. recovery in demand and the price of coke could fluctuate in the near term.
Signs of a serious crisis have appeared on the restaurant market: more and more establishments are closing and, on the contrary, fewer new ones appear. As a result, the total number of stores in the fourth quarter decreased by more than 10%. According to experts and market participants, the reason was the difficulty in purchasing the products, reduced traffic and mistakes in choosing locations. New investment is hampered by “general uncertainty” and the tenacity of landowners.
Since September 2022, the number of restaurant closures has started to grow sharply in Russia, according to a study by R-Keeper, an automation service for cafes and restaurants. Thus, in the fall the number of closures increased by 25.7%, while the number of openings decreased by 3.8% year on year. As a result, for the fourth quarter, the number of operating stores decreased by 10.4%. R-Keeper used data from cartographic services and closed sources for the calculations, but does not disclose absolute figures.
R-Keeper’s chief analyst Nikolai Oligerov believes the decline is due to the general autumn instability. The head of the CORE.XP retail department Marina Malakhatko speaks of a decline in revenue for a number of establishments due to the redistribution of consumer spending, which most affected outlets with an average check of 1-2 thousand rubles. RestCon CEO Elena Perepelitsa notes that even a slight decrease in traffic can become critical for catering establishments outside the central resorts.
The majority of closures have been recorded in the segments of cafes, pizza places, sushi bars, bakeries, and the pace of openings has decreased dramatically in street food establishments, bars and canteens, says R-Keeper.
The exception is fast food restaurants, where the number of openings exceeds the closures. Irina Burenko, commercial director of R4S Group, says street food and coffee shops accounted for 35% of rental transactions in the first quarter and 9% in the fourth. In the enterprise, this is associated with oversupply.
Artem Lomize, managing partner of the Moremania chain, says that there is a trend of consumers saving in establishments of the middle price segment. But development is held back not so much by the decrease in traffic as by general uncertainty, he underlines. Also, continues Mr. Lomize, the owners are in no hurry to reduce rates to fill vacancies. While downtime in malls is undesirable, an independent space owner can expect a long time to rent out the facility on his terms, he explains.
Shokoladnitsa group agrees that the year for the market was once again not the easiest, as the momentum of closures could increase. The group itself has opened more than 20 new locations this year, mostly its own, and the closures have been minimal and related to the inefficiency of outlets in specific locations.
Viktor EvtukhovDeputy Head of the Ministry of Industry and Trade, in July 2020:
“There is no global chain of bankruptcies in the restaurant industry.”
Irina Kozina, director of street retail at NF Group, says 91 restaurants were opened in Moscow’s central shopping streets in January-November 2022 compared to 116 establishments in 2021. Pinskiy & Co restaurant group represented the most openings, he notes. According to Ms. Kozina, customers of high-priced establishments depend little on external factors, and competition between such restaurants is less. The founder of the StrEat project, Maxim Popov, says that two or three restaurant groups are opening establishments in Moscow, and most of them are waiting.
Igor Bukharov, president of the Federation of restaurateurs and hoteliers, points out that data from one service does not allow us to assess the big picture. According to him, in the overwhelming majority of cases, establishments are closed due to incorrectly chosen places, the inability to negotiate with the owners, management errors and many other reasons. Irina Kozina adds that some restaurateurs have probably not been able to adapt to the new conditions, including those related to the restructuring of the menu and the purchase of raw materials.
Artem Lomize says that Moremania has begun to pay more attention to the location of potential objects, as the price of an incorrectly chosen location is “extremely high.” Shokoladnitsa Group plans to open new coffee shops in 2023 according to the previously scheduled schedule. As Maxim Popov points out, a recovery in the pace of discovery is possible after a period of relative stability.
