HereS a breakdown of the provided text, focusing on the key takeaways and advice:
Overall Market Sentiment:
Caution advised for Midcaps and smallcaps: Rajesh Palviya strongly suggests staying away from midcap and smallcap stocks for now due to significant profit-taking and a breakdown below their 50-day moving averages. He anticipates further downside pressure in these segments.
Broader Market Correction Expected: The Nifty has also broken a key support level and is showing a pattern of lower highs and lower lows for four consecutive weeks, indicating sustained selling pressure. the lack of strong earnings support further contributes to this bearish outlook.
Sectoral Analysis and Opportunities:
pharma’s Weakness: Pharma, which previously supported the market, is no longer doing so, especially evident in recent sessions.
Banking Sector:
Private Banks are Preferred: ICICI Bank and HDFC Bank are highlighted as better bets within the banking sector. Thay are trading above breakout levels, and rallies are supported by buying action, suggesting further upside potential. These are recommended for “long trades.”
PSU Banks are Consolidating: PSU banks are showing some buying interest but are mostly in a consolidation phase. Stocks like Union Bank, Canara Bank, and SBI are trading within ranges, awaiting breakouts.
SBI for Longer-Term: For investors with a 3-6 month perspective, SBI is considered well-placed around the โน800-โน780 range. Accumulation with a stop loss at โน760 is suggested. A breakout above โน830 coudl trigger a strong rally.
Key Takeaway for Banking: If the market recovers, private banks (HDFC and ICICI) are expected to lead the charge.
Specific Stock Recommendations:
Long Advice:
Fortis Healthcare:
Reasoning: Trading near all-time highs, showing a consistent higher-top, higher-bottom formation, and moving within an upward-sloping channel on the weekly chart. Strong long build-up in derivatives data.
Action: Buy and accumulate.
Target: โน880
Stop Loss: โน820
Short recommendation:
Siemens:
Reasoning: Showing weakness, having broken below its 50-day and 100-day moving averages, and a key support level on the weekly chart. Further selling is expected.
Action: Sell. target: โน2,970 (downside)
Stop Loss: (The text cuts off before the stop loss for Siemens is provided).
in Summary:
the expert advises a cautious approach to the broader market, particularly midcaps and smallcaps, due to prevailing selling pressure. For those looking to invest in the banking sector,private banks like ICICI and HDFC are preferred over consolidating PSU banks. specific stock recommendations are provided for both long and short positions, with Fortis Healthcare as a buy and siemens as a sell.
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