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Rachel Reeves

Business

UK Gas Prices Soar: Iran Conflict Fuels 93% Surge & Bill Fears

by Priya Shah – Business Editor March 3, 2026
written by Priya Shah – Business Editor

UK gas prices surged to levels not seen in over two years on Tuesday, nearly doubling in value as conflict escalated in the Middle East following strikes by the US and Israel within Iran. Wholesale gas prices briefly reached 151p a therm before settling around 148p, representing a 93% increase for the week, according to market analysis.

The dramatic rise began after a Qatari state energy company halted production of liquified natural gas (LNG) following what it described as “military attacks” by Iran. Qatar is a major supplier of LNG to Europe, providing between 12% and 14% of the continent’s imports, raising concerns about potential supply disruptions.

Oil prices similarly rose, climbing 3.2% to $80 a barrel on Tuesday morning, reflecting broader anxieties about regional stability and potential impacts on energy flows. Yet, analysts cautioned that the immediate impact on oil markets may be mitigated by existing stockpiles held by many countries.

Sanjay Raja, chief UK economist at Deutsche Bank, warned that the price increases could contribute to inflationary pressures and slow economic growth. “Any escalation feeds into risk premia, freight disruptions and precautionary stock-building in oil and gas markets,” he said.

The surge in gas prices is raising concerns about potential increases in household energy bills. Electricity prices are often linked to wholesale gas costs, meaning that a sustained rise in gas prices could lead to adjustments to the energy price cap set by Ofgem. Analysts at Stifel have warned that a tripling of wholesale gas prices could push the price cap to approximately £2,500 a year, a level not seen since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, from a current level of £1,641.

Richard Hunter, head of markets at interactive investor, noted that while oil price spikes are common after conflict outbreaks, the duration and extent of the escalation are more critical factors than the immediate price movement. He added that many countries have accumulated stockpiles that could buffer them against short-term disruptions.

The AA, a British motoring association, has stated that a fuel price increase for consumers is “inevitable” following the strikes in Iran. The organization did not specify the expected magnitude of the increase.

March 3, 2026 0 comments
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News

UK Business Confidence Slumps to Lowest Level in Months | CityAM

by Emma Walker – News Editor March 2, 2026
written by Emma Walker – News Editor

Business investment expectations in the UK have plummeted to new lows, according to the Institute of Directors (IoD), raising concerns about the economic outlook ahead of Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ Spring Statement on Tuesday.

The IoD’s latest economic confidence index, released last month, registered a reading of -63 in February – a significant drop from -48 in January. Confidence among business leaders in their own companies also fell sharply, declining from a positive +14 to just +1. The survey, which polled over 500 directors, revealed the most substantial declines in expectations for both headcount and revenue.

Anna Leach, chief economist at the IoD, attributed the downturn to a combination of factors, including rising employment taxes and increased regulatory burdens stemming from the recently enacted Employment Rights Bill. “Taxes and regulatory compliance remain prominent concerns, and a timely reminder of the importance of the government’s deregulatory agenda and the crucial need for business-friendly tax reform,” Leach said. She also noted that escalating geopolitical tensions, fueled by recent tariff developments, are contributing to boardroom anxieties. Business confidence ‘means jobs are cut’, according to Shadow Business Secretary Andrew Griffith, who criticized the current government’s policies as detrimental to economic growth.

The decline in business confidence coincides with a broader weakening of the UK’s economic prospects. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) recently halved its growth forecast for the current year to just 1%, signaling a more challenging economic environment than previously anticipated. Director Weekly reports that despite government rhetoric focused on growth, the economy has faltered.

Tuesday’s Spring Statement is expected to focus primarily on updated economic forecasts from the OBR, rather than outlining new policy initiatives. But, the government faces mounting pressure to address key concerns raised by businesses, including the impact of employment taxes and regulatory compliance costs.

Beyond the immediate economic headwinds, unresolved issues surrounding defense spending are also creating uncertainty. A dispute between Downing Street and the Ministry of Defence over the pace of investment in the UK armed forces threatens to delay critical modernization efforts. Potential impacts to tax receipts from a slowdown in immigration are a growing concern, with Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood scheduled to defend planned reforms in a speech later this week.

The IoD’s Leach emphasized the urgency of the situation, stating that “the need for swifter delivery of growth-friendly policies is increasingly urgent,” even as the quiet period before the Spring Statement offers a temporary respite from policy announcements. The extent to which the Chancellor will respond to these pressures remains to be seen, with the OBR’s forecasts poised to shape the government’s fiscal options in the coming months.

March 2, 2026 0 comments
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Business

UK Private Sector Decline Offset by Strong Business & Professional Services | City A.M.

by Priya Shah – Business Editor March 2, 2026
written by Priya Shah – Business Editor

Activity in the UK private sector is forecast to decline over the coming months, though firms in business and professional services are anticipating their strongest quarter since October 2024, according to a report released Monday by the Confederation of British Industry (CBI).

The CBI’s latest monthly growth indicator recorded a weighted balance of -13 per cent, signalling an expected contraction in overall activity. Declining sales in the distribution sector and a slowdown in manufacturing output were cited as key drivers of the anticipated slump. A drop in business volumes within the services sector, particularly those reliant on consumer spending, is likewise contributing to the negative outlook.

However, the report highlighted a notable divergence within the broader economic picture. Expectations for activity within business and professional services firms – encompassing consultancies, financial advisors, and related businesses – showed significant improvement, marking the most positive data since late 2024. This suggests a degree of resilience, particularly within the City of London.

Charlotte Dendy, the CBI’s economic surveys manager, described the improvement in business sentiment as “notable,” despite remaining below long-run averages. “Businesses continue to highlight the impact of recent Budgets on costs, alongside weak customer confidence and a broader lack of demand indicating that the mood remains fragile,” Dendy said. She urged the Chancellor to prioritize growth initiatives in the upcoming Spring Forecast, focusing on lowering business energy costs and ensuring the effective implementation of the Employment Rights Act.

The survey also indicated further planned headcount reductions in the three months to May, partly attributed to the impact of workers’ rights reforms contained within the Employment Rights Act. While the CBI and other industry groups successfully negotiated the removal of ‘day one’ unfair dismissal rights, other reforms – including expanded powers for unions to organise strikes and enhanced sick pay guarantees – are expected to increase regulatory costs for businesses.

Consultations on key aspects of the bill, including provisions related to maternity leave and trade union membership, are scheduled to open in February. The City of London Corporation agreed in 2024 to renew its membership of the CBI at a cost of £33,075 for the year, subject to ongoing monitoring by its Communications and Corporate Affairs Sub-Committee, according to minutes from a Policy and Resources Committee meeting.

The CBI itself has been navigating financial challenges, recently engaging in discussions to sublet portions of its London headquarters as part of cost-cutting measures following a period of crisis in 2024 triggered by a sexual misconduct scandal and subsequent loss of members. Despite regaining some influence with government officials, the organization’s finances remain precarious, relying on a multimillion-pound overdraft from several high street banks.

The Greater London Authority, under the next mayor, is being urged by the CBI to maximise devolved powers to work towards achieving net-zero carbon emissions for London by 2030, including maintaining the expanded Ultra Low Emission Zone.

March 2, 2026 0 comments
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Business

UK Neets Hit Nearly 1 Million – Youth Unemployment Crisis Looms | City A.M.

by Priya Shah – Business Editor February 26, 2026
written by Priya Shah – Business Editor

The number of young people in the UK not in education, employment or training (Neets) has risen to nearly one million, according to official data released Thursday, intensifying concerns about the long-term health of the British economy.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported 957,000 individuals aged between 16 and 24 were not working as of December, a figure up from 946,000 in the July-September period. ONS analysts cautioned that the data may be subject to “greater volatility” due to smaller sample sizes.

The increase in Neets coincides with a youth unemployment rate exceeding 16 percent, significantly higher than the overall working population’s unemployment rate of just over five percent. The figures were released as Chancellor Rachel Reeves prepares to deliver the Spring Statement next week.

Work and Pensions Secretary Pat McFadden acknowledged the high number of Neets as a “concern,” characterizing it as a “long-term challenge.” He noted the increase began before July of last year. “The number has been rising since 2022, with the majority of that increase occurring before July last year,” McFadden said.

The Labour government has highlighted its youth guarantee programme and apprenticeship initiatives, particularly those targeting small businesses, as key components of its strategy to address the crisis. However, the Conservative opposition argues that high student loan burdens and the perceived lack of value in some university degrees are disincentivizing young people from entering the workforce.

Shadow Work Secretary Helen Whately stated that nearly one million young people are “completely trapped” as a result of the government’s tax policies.

Economists at the Resolution Foundation have urged Reeves to consider the Neet crisis an “exception” to her current fiscal strategy, which prioritizes adherence to debt reduction targets and allows the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) to revise its forecasts annually. They suggest pausing the convergence of the minimum wage with the living wage and expanding Labour’s jobs guarantee scheme.

“Britain is perilously close to having a million young people not in education, employment or training for the first time in 13 years,” said Louise Murphy, a senior economist at the Resolution Foundation. “Today’s data adds to the picture of a generation up against real and complex barriers to finding a good job and improving their living standards. But acting sooner rather than later can support prevent these worrying trends becoming an entrenched crisis.”

The ONS data also revealed a higher increase in the number of female Neets in the last quarter, although men still constitute the majority of the total.

Chancellor Reeves is expected to present the Spring Statement next week, but the government has indicated it will primarily focus on the OBR’s revised forecasts rather than introducing new policies.

February 26, 2026 0 comments
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Business

Revolut: Inside Nik Storonsky’s $75bn Fintech Empire – Still Hunting for its Crown

by Priya Shah – Business Editor February 24, 2026
written by Priya Shah – Business Editor

Revolut, the UK-based fintech valued at $75bn, is facing continued scrutiny as it seeks a full banking licence from British regulators, despite pledging a £3bn investment into the UK economy. The digital bank launched its global headquarters in London in September 2025, with founder Nik Storonsky reaffirming obtaining a full UK banking licence as a “number one priority,” a goal that remains elusive.

The firm received provisional approval for a UK banking licence in 2024, initiating a 12-month “mobilisation stage” before full authorisation. However, insiders told City A.M. In late 2025 that the initial deadline of July 25th was unlikely to be met. Revolut maintains it is “working constructively with the PRA” and acknowledges the mobilisation process is the largest and most complex ever undertaken in the UK.

The protracted process has sparked political tensions. The Financial Times reported that Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey blocked a meeting, brokered by Shadow Chancellor Rachel Reeves, between Revolut executives and regulators. Reeves had hoped the summit would accelerate the fintech’s path to becoming a fully fledged bank, but Bailey reportedly intervened due to concerns over political interference in regulatory matters. The FT similarly cited concerns within the Bank of England regarding Revolut’s ability to maintain adequate risk controls alongside its rapid global expansion as a factor delaying final approval.

Incumbent bank executives have publicly questioned Revolut’s financial controls. Barclays’ CS Venkatkrishnan, speaking at a London banking conference in November 2025, emphasized the seriousness with which traditional banks approach the financial controls imposed by a banking licence. He questioned the ability of firms without such a licence to effectively manage financial risks.

Revolut responded swiftly, asserting it “abides by the same regulatory and consumer protection standards as any traditional bank.” However, the fintech has also signaled a potential shift in focus towards international expansion, with a source telling City A.M. In July 2025 that there was a “general feeling of frustration” with the City of London’s regulatory environment. This has been reflected in an aggressive overseas expansion, including securing regulatory approvals in the Middle East and the United States, with nearly 100 job advertisements open for the UAE and 77 in Dubai as of February 2026.

Founded in 2015 by Nik Storonsky and Vlad Yatsenko, Revolut has rapidly grown into a financial empire spanning dozens of countries. The company’s revenue climbed 72 per cent to £3.1bn in the last 12 months, driven by diversification into areas such as crypto, hotel bookings, and mobile plans. The firm’s internal culture, however, has drawn scrutiny. Reports have surfaced of a demanding environment, with a points-based ‘Karma’ system used to track employee behaviour and impact bonuses, a practice some have described as dystopian.

Despite the concerns, many Revolut employees have benefited financially from the company’s success. Analysis of Companies House records revealed that over 200 individuals were positioned to develop into millionaires through a secondary share sale in the previous year, valuing employee stock at $1,381.06 per share. This has led to the emergence of a “Revolut Mafia” – a network of former employees and executives who have gone on to found or lead other successful fintech ventures, including Allica Bank, Belvo, and Fuse.

Alan Chang, a former Revolut executive who started as an operations analyst in 2015 and rose to chief revenue officer, leads Fuse, which achieved a $5bn valuation after a $70m investment round in December. However, Fuse has also faced accusations of mistreating staff, leading to a statement from the firm affirming its commitment to high standards and responsible talent management.

Storonsky has downplayed the prospect of a London IPO, stating in a December interview that it was “not a priority” and would “most likely” occur in “two or three years,” favouring Wall Street due to its “greater liquidity.” This stance represents a setback for hopes that Revolut could provide a much-needed boost to the London Stock Exchange.

February 24, 2026 0 comments
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Business

Tories Pledge to Cut Student Loan Interest Rates – CityAM

by Priya Shah – Business Editor February 22, 2026
written by Priya Shah – Business Editor

The Conservative party has outlined plans to reduce the interest accrued on student loans issued prior to 2023, responding to growing criticism of the financial burden faced by graduates. Party leader Kemi Badenoch described the current Plan 2 loan system, utilized by approximately 5.8 million borrowers between 2012 and 2023, as “increasingly feels like a scam,” according to reports in the Sunday Telegraph.

Currently, loan interest is calculated at the Retail Price Index (RPI) plus up to three percent, dependent on the graduate’s income. The proposed Conservative amendment would cap interest at RPI only, which currently stands at 3.8 percent. This adjustment aims to facilitate quicker debt repayment for a larger number of students.

The initiative follows renewed calls for student loan reform from Chancellor Rachel Reeves and the National Union of Students. Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson stated on Sunday that the government would “look at” the student loans system, expressing a desire for “fairer” arrangements, but stopped short of committing to specific changes.

Alongside the student loan proposal, the Conservatives have pledged to increase apprenticeship subsidies for employers. The plan includes offering employers up to £5,000 for each British citizen aged 18 to 21 they hire as an apprentice. This concept was initially proposed by Mel Stride during his 2024 campaign for the Conservative party leadership.

A source close to Stride emphasized a sense of unfairness among those burdened by student debt, stating, “There is a palpable sense of unfairness – and even despair – among some people that they’ve done all the right things and are getting screwed…We have to give people some hope.” The source also suggested that high marginal tax rates, driven by student loan repayments, were discouraging individuals and negatively impacting the economy.

The salary threshold for loan repayments under the Plan B system remains frozen at £29,385 for three years following Reeves’ November Budget, a measure that will likely result in increased repayment obligations for many graduates.

Concerns regarding youth unemployment have also been raised, with current figures indicating that just over 16 percent of individuals aged 16 to 24 are unemployed, significantly higher than the national average of just over five percent. Joblessness among young people reached 740,000 in the final quarter of 2025, the highest level in eleven years. The upcoming increase to the minimum wage – rising 4.1 percent to £12.71 for those over 21 and 8.5 percent to £10.85 for 18 to 20-year-olds in April – is being cited as a contributing factor to employer cost pressures.

Labour had previously pledged to eliminate “discretionary age bands” in minimum wage rates, but faced criticism following the release of recent job figures highlighting the challenges faced by young people in the UK labor market. The Prime Minister has affirmed the government’s commitment to equalizing the minimum wage, despite speculation of a potential reversal due to unemployment concerns.

Ala Moana Center in Honolulu, Hawaii, will host a Lunar New Year celebration from February 17th to February 22nd, 2026, honoring the Year of the Horse, according to a Facebook post from KHON2 News.

February 22, 2026 0 comments
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