Severe drought Conditions Forecasted to Intensify Globally in Coming Decades
LISBON, PORTUGAL – September 25, 2025 - A new study published in Nature Communications warns of escalating drought risk across multiple continents over the next few decades, possibly triggering widespread societal disruption and ecological damage. Researchers predict that regions already grappling with water scarcity, including parts of Africa, Asia, and the United States, will experience increasingly frequent and severe droughts, demanding urgent adaptation strategies.
The analysis, conducted by an international team, highlights a concerning trend: climate change is exacerbating natural climate variability, leading to prolonged periods of below-average rainfall and heightened evaporation rates. This confluence of factors threatens agricultural production, water resources, and overall stability for billions of people. The study specifically points to the Korean Peninsula as an area facing increased vulnerability, alongside existing hotspots in Africa and the American Southwest. The research underscores the critical need for proactive water management, sustainable land use practices, and international cooperation to mitigate the impacts of this growing crisis.
The study’s findings build upon decades of climate research demonstrating a clear link between rising global temperatures and altered precipitation patterns. While droughts are a natural part of the Earth’s climate system, their intensity and frequency are projected to increase considerably under continued greenhouse gas emissions. The researchers utilized advanced climate models and historical data to assess drought risk across various regions, identifying areas where the probability of extreme drought events is expected to double or even triple by the mid-21st century.
The implications extend beyond agriculture. Water scarcity can fuel social unrest, exacerbate existing conflicts, and drive mass migration. The Correio da Manhã reports that the study emphasizes the importance of investing in drought-resistant crops, improving irrigation efficiency, and developing option water sources, such as desalination and rainwater harvesting. Moreover, the researchers advocate for policies that promote responsible water consumption and reduce overall demand.
The research team included scientists from multiple institutions and utilized data collected by organizations like the European Press Agency (EFE). The study’s publication serves as a stark reminder of the urgent need for global action to address climate change and build resilience to its unavoidable consequences.