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China Exports Surge: June Growth Beats Forecasts Amid US Trade Truce

by Lucas Fernandez – World Editor
written by Lucas Fernandez – World Editor

China’s Exports Surge in June amid Tariff Truce, Exceeding Expectations

By World Today News Staff

July 8, 2024

China’s export sector demonstrated a notable acceleration in June, with outbound shipments rising by 5.8 percent year-on-year. this robust performance surpassed market forecasts, which had predicted a more modest 3.6 percent increase.

The world’s leading merchandise exporter shipped goods valued at US$325.2 billion during the month. This figure represents a critically important uptick from the 4.8 percent growth observed in May.

Analysts attribute this surge to exporters capitalizing on a 90-day tariff truce. this temporary agreement likely encouraged businesses to expedite their shipments to take advantage of favorable trade conditions.

The positive export data offers a glimpse into the resilience of China’s manufacturing and trade capabilities. Understanding these trends is crucial for global supply chain analysis and international economic outlooks.

For further insights into global trade dynamics,explore reports from the World trade Organization. Additional context on economic indicators can be found at the

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Business

CGSI: Thai Economic Report: 3 months negative inflation … is just the beginning – stock dimension

by Priya Shah – Business Editor
written by Priya Shah – Business Editor

Thai Economy Grapples With Unexpected Deflation

Falling energy prices contribute to continued economic concerns.

Thailand is experiencing its third consecutive month of deflation, sparking worries about consumer demand and economic stagnation. The latest figures reveal a concerning trend that challenges earlier projections for economic growth.

Deeper Dive Into Deflationary Factors

June 2025 saw a 0.3% decrease in inflation compared to the previous year, a figure lower than anticipated, even below the 0.1% drop predicted by Bloomberg. Falling energy costs, particularly fuel (gasoline down 18% year-on-year) and electricity (3.98 baht/unit versus 4.18 baht last year), are primary drivers.

The prices of fresh food, including chicken eggs, vegetables, and fruit, have also declined. Conversely, pork and processed foods have seen price increases. This mixed picture underscores the complexities of the current economic climate.

Economic data chart

Consumption and Crude Oil Impact

Analysis indicates a correlation between weak private consumption and low prices, signaling decreased consumer spending. Crude oil prices also strongly influence Thailand’s overall inflation, given energy’s 13% weighting in the national inflation basket.

Given the continued weakness in private consumption projected for the latter half of 2025, coupled with current Brent crude oil price trends, projections remain conservative. The World Bank, for example, recently lowered its 2025 growth forecast for Thailand to 2.8% due to similar concerns about weak external demand and slow tourism recovery (World Bank).

Interest Rate Forecast

The expectation is that Thailand’s inflation rate for 2025 will remain at 0.00% year-on-year. It’s also anticipated that the Bank of Thailand will maintain its policy interest rate (1-day repo) at 1.00% through 2026.

Challenges Ahead

Competition from Chinese products, populist policy measures, global crude oil price trends, and the high economic base of 2024 are expected to restrain Thai inflation throughout 2025.

For comprehensive details, refer to the full report: https://rfs.cgsi.com/api/download?file

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Business

GCAP Gold: $3,220/$3,200 Spot Price & Stock Levels

by Priya Shah – Business Editor
written by Priya Shah – Business Editor

Gold Prices Face Pressure amid Easing Middle East Tensions, GCAP Gold Analysis Shows

Table of Contents

Bangkok, Thailand – Gold prices are currently facing downward pressure due to a combination of factors, including easing tensions in the Middle East and potentially softening U.S. economic data, according to a recent analysis by G. Cap Company Limited (GCAP Gold). The firm suggests a buying strategy at Gold Spot prices of $3,220 / $3,200, citing key support and resistance levels to monitor.

Middle East developments Impacting Gold Market

According to Miss Areerat Murachai, Head of Analyst at GCAP Gold, progress in international trade and diplomatic efforts in the Middle East is a primary variable influencing gold prices.If the geopolitical situation continues to improve,gold prices may experience continued selling pressure. Conversely, any events that heighten risk or indications of a slowing U.S. economy could bolster gold’s price [1].

Did You Know? Gold is often seen as a safe-haven asset during times of geopolitical instability, with investors flocking to it as a store of value.

US-china Trade Negotiations and Gold Demand

Hopes for a new trade agreement between the United States and China before the July 9th deadline are also weighing on gold demand. Successful negotiations could reduce the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset, as improved trade relations typically boost global economic confidence.The Peterson Institute for International economics offers ongoing analysis of US-China trade dynamics [2].

Interest Rate Trends and Gold’s Appeal

While recent Core PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) data exceeded expectations, signals from Federal Reserve officials, such as Neil Kashkari, suggest the possibility of two interest rate cuts in 2025. This prospect is fueling market speculation about future monetary policy, which could provide support for gold prices. Lower interest rates generally make gold more attractive to investors becuase it reduces the chance cost of holding the non-yielding asset.

Key Economic Indicators to Watch

Investors should closely monitor upcoming U.S.labor market data, particularly the Nonfarm Payroll numbers, scheduled for release on Thursday. Expectations are for a decrease from 139,000 to 120,000. The unemployment rate is projected to rise from 4.2% to 4.3%. Weaker-than-expected employment figures could provide a boost to gold prices.

GCAP Gold’s Investment Strategy

Based on these factors, GCAP Gold’s research department recommends a buying strategy at Gold Spot prices of $3,220 / $3,200. This level is seen as an critically important support frame (approximately 50,000-49,700 baht in Thai gold price). The first resistance level is identified at $3,330 – $3,350 (around 51,000-51,300 baht). A break above $3,368-$3,375 (approximately 52,000 baht) could signal a short-term trend reversal to the upside.

Pro Tip: Always conduct thorough research and consider your own risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.

Key Gold Price Levels

Level USD Thai Baht (Approx.)
Support $3,220 / $3,200 50,000-49,700
Resistance 1 $3,330 – $3,350 51,000-51,300
Resistance 2 $3,368- $3,375 52,000

Will gold prices rebound despite easing geopolitical tensions? How will upcoming economic data influence your investment strategy?

Gold as a Safe Haven Asset: A Past Perspective

Gold has long been considered a safe-haven asset, particularly during times of economic uncertainty or geopolitical instability.Throughout history, investors have turned to gold as a store of value when othre assets, such as stocks or bonds, become more volatile. this is as gold is a tangible asset with a limited supply, and its value is not directly tied to the performance of any particular company or government. The World Gold Council provides extensive data and analysis on gold’s historical performance and its role in investment portfolios [3].

Frequently Asked Questions About gold Investing

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Share your thoughts on the future of gold prices in the comments below! Don’t forget to subscribe to World Today News for the latest market updates.

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Entertainment

Kate Middleton Health: Recovery Doubts & Life Transformation

by Julia Evans – Entertainment Editor
written by Julia Evans – Entertainment Editor

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Princess Kate Gears Up for Future Royal Role Amid Health Battles

Table of Contents

Princess Kate and Prince William are navigating meaningful changes as they prepare for their future roles as King and Queen, according to royal experts. this comes after a challenging year for the Princess of Wales, who revealed her cancer diagnosis in September 2024 and has been undergoing chemotherapy.

Adjusting to New Realities

Following the announcement of her cancer diagnosis, Princess Kate had to cancel her appearance at Royal Ascot on June 18. Sources close to the couple indicate that these adjustments are part of a larger strategy to ensure they are well-prepared for their future responsibilities. These changes include building a reliable team of senior advisors to guide them royal duties.

Did You know? According to a 2023 report by Brand Finance, the British Monarchy contributes nearly £2 billion annually to the UK economy through tourism and other avenues.

The Impact of Public Scrutiny

The public diagnosis and treatment of Princess Kate’s cancer have brought intense scrutiny. A royal source told *People* magazine that the princess has not been afforded the privacy typically granted to individuals facing such health challenges.A family friend noted that the past year has been especially difficult for Kate, emphasizing her continued importance to the royal family.

Kate’s Enduring Appeal

Catherine Mayer, biographer of King Charles, highlighted Princess kate’s unique appeal, stating that she remains the only royal figure who enjoys a special attraction.Mayer added that her

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Health

These may be the three most effective non-drug ways to treat knee arthritis

by Dr. Michael Lee – Health Editor
written by Dr. Michael Lee – Health Editor

Exercises and Braces Top Treatments for Knee Osteoarthritis

New Study Reveals Effective Strategies for Managing Pain and Improving Function

A recent study has shed light on the most effective approaches to alleviate the discomfort associated with knee osteoarthritis. Researchers have analyzed various interventions, offering new insights into how individuals can manage this common condition and improve their quality of life.

Most Effective Strategies

The study found that knee braces provide the best results across several metrics, including pain, stiffness, and overall function. The researchers highlighted that these braces are the most likely to be the best treatment option. Additionally, staying active and maintaining a healthy weight emerged as crucial strategies for reducing osteoarthritis symptoms, as confirmed by Morgan Jones, a sports medicine orthopedic surgeon.

Hydrotherapy and exercises like weightlifting and yoga ranked second and third, respectively, in the analysis. Hydrotherapy, which involves water exercises or aquatherapy, is designed to improve symptoms, according to the findings. Both exercise and weight management can enhance symptoms and slow the progression of arthritis, as Jones noted.

“Both of those can improve symptoms and slow the progression of arthritis,”

—Morgan Jones, Sports Medicine Orthopedic Surgeon

Approximately 32.5 million adults in the United States are living with osteoarthritis, according to the CDC (CDC 2024).

Understanding the Causes

Knee osteoarthritis arises when the cartilage in the knee degrades, leading to “bone-on-bone motion,” as explained by Jayabalan. Cartilage does not possess the ability to repair itself. Common factors that elevate the risk of this condition include a prior knee injury, like an ACL tear, and unhealthy weight gain. Each extra pound adds significant stress to the knees when walking, as stated by Steve Messier, the director of the J.B. Snow Biomechanics Laboratory at Wake Forest University.

Keeping moving through physical activity such as yoga is beneficial for joints. Photo / 123rf

The study indicated that exercise of any kind can reduce pain, as stated by Messier. It’s important to note that while knee replacements are a common solution for damaged joints, recovery can take up to a year.

Study Limitations

The study’s results show short-term pain relief from these treatments. Additionally, many of the trials were conducted with small groups of participants, according to Jones.

According to Jayabalan, studies did not look at whether treatments were leading to mechanistic improvements in the knee. Instead, the studies recorded observations.

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Business

Russia’s Economy: On the Brink of Collapse? | EU Sanctions & Crisis Update

by Priya Shah – Business Editor
written by Priya Shah – Business Editor

Russian Economy Faces mounting Pressure Amid Sanctions and Export Decline

Table of Contents

Moscow is facing increasing financial strain as declining oil and gas revenues, rising public debt, and impending Western sanctions create a perfect storm for the Russian economy. Despite efforts to stabilize the situation, high inflation and escalating war costs are adding to the Kremlin’s financial woes.

Economic Slowdown and Declining Exports

According to preliminary data from Rosstat, russia’s GDP growth slowed to 1.4% in the first quarter of 2025, a significant drop from the 4.3% growth seen in 2024. Simultaneously, oil and gas export revenues plummeted by 35% in May compared to the previous year. This decline is especially impactful as Russia’s public finances have long relied on raw material exports.

Did You Know? Russia’s National Wealth Fund, previously used to buffer the economy, has seen its liquid assets shrink by two-thirds since the start of the war in Ukraine, leaving approximately $40 billion USD.

War Funding and Corporate Debt

The Kremlin is increasingly relying on corporate borrowing to finance its military operations. As the invasion of Ukraine, business debt has surged by roughly 50% through the end of 2024, with military producers accumulating the largest share. While this bolsters the military industry,it also heightens the risk of economic instability.

Russia’s Economy: On the Brink of Collapse? | EU Sanctions & Crisis Update

New EU Sanctions Loom

The Russian economy is bracing for the impact of the 18th European Union sanctions package. The European Commission’s proposals include:

  • Adding the Nord Stream pipeline to the sanctions list.
  • Disconnecting 22 more Russian banks from the SWIFT system.
  • Tightening measures against the “shadow fleet.”
  • Reducing the oil price ceiling from $60 to $45 per barrel.
  • Continuing to limit the export of “dual-purpose” goods.

Experts believe that this comprehensive package could significantly exacerbate the challenges facing the Russian economy, pending approval from all EU member states.

European Union Flag

Pro Tip: Monitoring the EU’s decision-making process regarding sanctions is crucial for understanding the future trajectory of the Russian economy.

key Economic Indicators

Indicator Q1 2024 Q1 2025
GDP Growth 4.3% 1.4%
Oil & Gas Export Revenue (May YOY) N/A -35%
Central Bank Interest Rate N/A 20%
Inflation Rate N/A ~10%

The latest data paints a picture of an increasingly war-driven economy, characterized by rising costs, inflation, debt, and dwindling reserves. While GDP growth persists, the underlying financial foundations are weakening, particularly as Western pressure intensifies.

Will the Kremlin successfully navigate this complex economic landscape? The answer hinges on Western policy decisions and Russia’s resilience to future economic shocks.

What long-term strategies can Russia employ to mitigate the impact of Western sanctions? How will the increasing reliance on corporate debt affect the stability of the Russian economy?

Evergreen Insights: The Past Context of Russian Economic Sanctions

Economic sanctions have been a recurring tool in international relations with Russia, dating back to the Cold War era. These measures have historically aimed to influence Russian foreign policy, limit its military capabilities, and promote human rights. The effectiveness of sanctions has been a subject of ongoing debate, with some arguing that they can be a powerful tool for achieving specific policy goals, while others contend that they often have unintended consequences and can harm the civilian population. The current sanctions regime,imposed in response to the conflict in Ukraine,represents one of the most comprehensive and coordinated efforts to isolate the russian economy in recent history. The long-term impact of these sanctions will depend on a variety of factors, including the duration and intensity of the measures, the ability of Russia to find option sources of trade and investment, and the overall geopolitical context.

FAQ: Understanding the Russian Economic Crisis

Disclaimer: This article provides general facts and should not be considered financial advice.

Share your thoughts in the comments below and subscribe to World Today News for more in-depth analysis of global economic trends!

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