PSG’sโค Injury Troubles Present Handicap Betting Opportunities in Ligue 1
Recent performances suggest backing teams โข against Paris Saint-Germain with a goal handicap is proving a โคshrewd strategy in Ligueโฃ 1. Data indicates this approach has been accomplished in 5 of PSG’s 6 most recent league matches.
PSG, despite winning the last four โฃLigue โ1 titles and being reigning European champions, have experienced a slower start to the domestic season. A โฃdelayedโค return to action following a โClub World Cup appearance this summer, coupled with aโค meaningful injury list, appears to be โฃimpactingโข their dominance.
While currently holding a two-point lead over Marseille, PSG โhas only won four of their first 12 Ligue 1 games by more than a single goal. Their home victories against Lens and Auxerre (both 2-0) represent their most convincing results at โคthe Parc des Princes. Statistically, PSG’s expected goals difference per 90 minutes (+0.74) ranks only 10th among clubs in theโค five major european championships.
A key โขfactor contributing to this โrelative underperformance is the absence of several โขkey players. Ballonโ d’Or winner Ousmane Dembรฉlรฉ has been limited to just 282 minutes of Ligue 1 action, and will miss this weekend’s โmatch against Le Havre. Dรฉsirรฉ Douรฉ, โNuno Mendes, and Achraf Hakimi are also currently sidelined, with โขreturns not expected until at least December – potentially meaning they won’t feature โin another Ligue 1 match โคthis calendar year. PSG’s finalโ domesticโ match before the winter break is scheduled for December 13thโค against Metz.
This injury situationโฃ is influencing betting opportunities. PSG has only won by more than two goals in two Ligue 1 matchesโค this season, making them one of the least profitable teams in Europe โคin the handicap market. Since the start of October, backing Lille, Strasbourg, and Lorient with aโ one-goal advantage has proven profitable.
looking ahead, โขPSG faces Le Havre this weekend, a team that has conceded only one goal in their last four matches. Didier Digard’s side has lost only one โof their last eight Ligue 1 games, suggesting they can challenge PSG. โข The article suggests considering a bet on Le Havre with a +2 goal handicap.
The following week, PSG travels to Monaco. while Ousmane dembรฉlรฉ has a chance of โคfeaturing inโ that match,it comes โless than 72 hours after a Championsโค League clash with Tottenham. This congested schedule further increases the potential for a PSG stumble, making a bet on Monaco โคwith โฃa +1 goal handicap – representing an implied probability of 53.3% – an attractive option.
Odds provided by Unibet. Correct at time of publication and โคsubject to change. (As per the original article)