Harry Doukas

Five days left until Election Sunday. Five days that will determine the outcome for the next president of the PASOK, but also the future of the faction in the coming years. The big battle will take place on Sunday, October 6. It is being held in the wake of the debate and with an eye on the opinion polls, which all reflect the rise of the party

This battle will initially provide an answer to the riddle of the second round. Who will be the candidates who will pass and face each other on October 13? At the same time, who will be the candidates who will be cut on Sunday night and will see the efforts of the previous months go to waste?

Certainly, if someone asks a candidate, he will answer that the possibility of defeat does not cross his mind. But victory cannot come for all six candidates, and this victory will be determined by a network of actions that culminate in the next critical 24 hours.

The undeclared war of organizational staffs

Candidate executives on organizational staffs do not sleep. The people in charge of the mobilizations are constantly calling phone numbers that are in the clearly written register of members that they got from E.D.E.K.A.P. They try to contact as many party voters as possible. They want to keep their engines warm until Election Sunday.

First on the list are certainly those who signed the respective nomination. Then they call the rest. Depending on the reaction received by some… “organizational professionals” they rate the phone call. They grade it. They care whether he was an ardent supporter or not. This movement will play an important role in the mapping and mobilization of the last day. All the data is in the excel of the offices and the volunteers make sure everything is in order. Anyone who doesn’t answer the calls is sure to receive an SMS or an email by Sunday. Nothing will be left to chance.

Image counts

In addition to the organizational part, which is at its peak these days, the communication part is also very important. Candidates know that the more hands they shake, the greater the chance of a positive outcome. And because there is no better way than live communication, they invite their supporters to their keynote address.

There, candidates will say everything that needs to be heard. They will speak in unison. At the same time, they will greet people, that is, they will shake hands and come into contact with the communicants and the preachers of their candidacy.

Also, the image of a full hall always causes anxiety among the co-candidates and their staffs. The “sea of ​​people” is a demonstration of power and they are well aware of it in PaSoK. This is why there is pressure for suffocatingly full pre-election rallies.

Last moves on the pre-election chessboard

Nikos Androulakis, who yesterday gave a speech in his hometown of Heraklion, is going north on Wednesday. Specifically in Serres and Kilkis, while he has also planned actions in Thessaloniki. He then returns to deliver his keynote speech on Friday at the old Parliament and will close his tour on Saturday in Patras, the hometown of PaSoK founder Andreas Papandreou.

OR Anna Diamantopoulou she also chooses a similar pattern of movements, as she will move in the last week in places familiar to her. She is also going North. First in her hometown of Kozani, then Thessaloniki and then she returns to Athens to hold her last pre-election rally, in a central hotel of the capital located in Karaiskaki Square.

THE Harry Doukas today he will go to Agrinio and on Wednesday he will give the “Democracy Award of the City of Athens”, for the 50 years of post-colonialism. This award will be received by the President of the Republic Katerina Sakellaropoulouas the country’s first citizen. After the award, he will head to Panhellenic where he will hold his central pre-election rally. While in the next few days he will also go north, specifically to Katerini and Larissa.

The remarkable thing about Tetartis is that Haris Doukas and Pavlos Geroulanos they will duel organizationally and communicatively in their city, Athens. While one will be in Panhellenic, the other will meet his supporters in the hall of the old Parliament, where he will make his own central pre-election speech. Pavlos Geroulanos will also speak on Friday in Patras and will close his tour in his native Kefalonia.

THE Michalis Katrinis yesterday he made his keynote speech in Pyrgos, in the region where a member of parliament is elected. In the following days he will make trips to Peristeri, Larissa and Kalamata. Whereas, yesterday she held her central pre-election campaign in Peristeri and Nadia Giannakopoulou.

It is worth noting that both the candidates and the members who make up their staffs continue the undeclared but incessant image war. Sponsored photos on social media. Creating videos, through which they launch their political positions, as well as their human face, combined with targeted interviews, create a communication puzzle that is completed daily for each candidate and will be completed on the evening of October 6.

At the meeting of the Central Committee, last week, the gladiators of PASOK sharpened their swords for the first time. They showed their intentions. They opened their papers. And they tried to set the political framework that will help them create alliances, which may prove useful to them on the second Sunday. At the same time, addressing the body they hit the weaknesses of their opponents and in turn suffered cracks in their profile.

For many, this was the first half of a duel that will conclude with the debate that will take place today, Tuesday, September 24 at 21.00. There, in the studio of ERT in Agia Paraskevi, the suitors of the chair of the 6th floor of Harilaou Trikoupis will continue the dialogue, the fights, but also the blows in a pan-Hellenic broadcast. Their goal is to convince the people who will go to the polling stations on October 6, to put a preference cross next to their own name.

The gladiators

THE Nikos Androulakiswho will sit first at the dialogue table, is expected to appear united. He will emphasize that the following day all candidates must be on the ballots and at the same time he will play the card of political autonomy.

His close associate specifically reported to “Vima” how “Mr. Androulakis will highlight the strategy of the autonomous course of the party, which, as we see, strengthens the PaSoK on both sides” and went on to point out how “the tactic that Mr. Androulakis received from the late Fofi Gennimata is bearing fruit. It brought results in the European elections with two prefectures being painted green and establishes PaSoK as a pole of power”.

According to information, Mr. Androulakis will focus on the strategic plan he developed at TIF. At the same time, he has one more arrow in his quiver, hers “undermining the course of the PASOK” on the way to the European elections. An arrow expected to be placed in his bow and pointed at those who doubted him.

As he himself said “at 7 in the evening the polls closed for the European elections and at 7.10 we had the issue of leadership. The world of the faction will judge whether those who raised the issue of leadership at 7.10 were worried about the good course of the faction at 6.50”. This, combined with how quickly his co-candidates presented governance programs, is for the Androulakis camp a reason for explanations and a reason for conflict.

Social democracy

In her environment Annas Diamantopoulou there is satisfaction as in many polls her name appears in second place. “Although we started last, our momentum is starting to show. This is due to the coordinated work, to the tours, but also to Anna’s realistic, modern speech” she declares herself a person from her environment and points out that they expect attacks for her absence in the previous years from the PASOK, but also blows for the “clockwise rotation” of the ship. However, she has answered in the past that “the steering wheel will be firmly forward, neither left nor right.”

According to information, Mrs. Diamantopoulou’s speech in the teleconference will be targeted, unifying, with a future dimension and perspective. Her answers according to her colleagues “they will summarize her experiences in difficult situations that she has managed in the past, both as commissioner and as minister of education. At the same time, he will submit proposals for the social democracy of the 21st century, being aware of the times we live in and the policies we must follow” he said characteristically.

New model

THE Harry Doukaswho for many his placement in the Central Committee had a leftist sign, is expected to be placed programmatically, without entering into any confrontation. According to his close associate, the mayor of Athens “he is ready to exchange views so that society understands what each one stands for and to convince people to get up from the couch and participate en masse in the elections. The goal is civilized dialogue.”

As everything shows, Mr. Doukas comes to the dialogue table in order to promote economic issues, to talk about the welfare state and major national issues. While for the internal parties, it is expected to stand on the fact that PaSoK does not have a self-governing sector, but also on the fact that “he is not allowed to get comfortable, seeing in the opinion polls that his percentage increases by one or two points, when New Democracy loses ten points and SYRIZA eight points, in relation to the last national elections”, as he himself has repeatedly emphasized in the past.

Additionally “its purpose is to highlight his proposals, as well as the new governance model he proposes both for the party and for the country” such as said a typical man from his environment.

At the ballot box

For a new leadership that unites, is in the Parliament and is full-time, it is expected that he will speak Pavlos Geroulanos. According to information, Mr. Geroulanos will focus on the fact that the president of the party must also be a member of parliament, at the same time he is expected to emphasize the promotion of his work around the economy, dealing with punctuality, “red loans”, the Fund Recovery.

As for the opinion polls, the staff of Pavlos Geroulanos emphasize that “in a fluid political situation where the electorate will be formed in the final week, everyone admits that everything will be decided at the ballot box. If the polls were to be believed, Mr. Lover would be president of PaSoK, the lady Ahtsioglou to SYRIZA and Mr. Meimarakis president of the ND and prime minister of the country. Everyone will be judged and we will be judged on October 6.”

Claim

As for the two candidates who are running low in the measurements, o Michalis Katrinis will be positioned for the need for a large progressive faction that will not cooperate with the New Democracy. At the same time, he will emphasize that PaSoK must claim power and not be satisfied with the small increase in its percentage from match to match. From the environment they expect an attack for left-handed tactics and they answer how “Mr. Katrinis has defended PaSoK since 2007 from all positions of responsibility and has never flirted with other parties, nor remained uninvolved in the faction’s difficult times.”

From her side Nadias Giannakopoulou point out that he will answer with “clarity, freshness, drive and technocratic proficiency on all subjects”, as its purpose is to become “a civilized and serious dialogue”.

Even the betting companies have been forced to revise their predictions. At the beginning of the race for the leadership of PaSoK, they showed Haris Doukas as their favorite, then they changed their mind and bet on Nikos Androulakis, then they reconsidered and for the next 15 days we will see.

The inconsistency of the match has been recorded in all the series of polls that have seen the light of day. Nikos Androulakis and Haris Doukas appear as the dominant duo for the second round but they feel, in some measurements at the limits of statistical error, the threat of Anna Diamantopoulos while they wonder what the electoral limits of Pavlos Geroulanos are after all. The ones recorded by the polls or the ones they themselves smell in their contact with the base of PaSoK?

The two keys to the match

Candidate staffs do their own counting. They put all participation scenarios under the microscope to get a full picture of the dynamics that each candidacy can have. They are looking for their appeal within and outside the boundaries of the PSOC. The battle for the leadership of PaSoK in the first decisive round will be decided by two factors.

The first is the appeal of the candidates to the narrow electoral base of PaSoK. Here the imprint of Nikos Androulakis is strong, but the impact recorded by Haris Doukas is not at all negligible. The presence of Pavlos Geroulanos is also strong. Anna Diamantopoulou seems to be lagging behind in this electorate. The second is the influx that will occur from citizens who did not vote for PaSoK in the elections. Anna Diamantopoulou takes the lion’s share of the audience that will come from the center.

In the most left-leaning audiences, Haris Doukas leads with Pavlos Geroulanos taking a notable part of them. Here lies a difficulty and a challenge for Nikos Androulakis. To increase the degree of trust in his person by the voters who in the previous elections did not vote for PASOK but seem willing to attend his internal party process. The bottom line is that size (how many) as well as composition (who) will determine who the second round duo will be.

The geographic battle

An interesting element is the… geographical appeal of the candidates. Nikos Androulakis has a strong presence in the region. Crete, Xanthi, Northern Aegean are his strongest cards. The percentages of Mr. Androulakis are moving, throughout the region, at percentages above 20%. In Crete, despite the losses, it is likely to record a percentage more than double the second. It can, in this way, “refer” the lag in the urban centers.

Pavlos Geroulanos and Anna Diamantopoulou register remarkable percentages in the urban centers, in Athens and in Thessaloniki. Pavlos Geroulanos in Kefalonia and Anna Diamantopoulou in the region of Western Macedonia also record high percentages in their respective homelands. In the urban centers, the presence of Haris Doukas (Athens, North Piraeus) is also significant, while in the Western Sector of Athens, Nadia Gianakopoulou registers a strong presence.

The individual elements

Who is the candidate with the least dislikes and the most likes in PaSoK? Pavlos Geroulanos. Who is considered the person who can unite the Center Left? Harry Doukas. Who is closer to the citizen? Androulakis and Katrinis. Who has prime ministerial aura? Anna Diamantopoulou. Which presidential candidate voters show the most confidence to vote? By Nikos Androulakis. How many want a change in leadership? Most of them.

Does all this mean anything? It depends on the voting criteria. In any case, all the evidence suggests that the elections in PaSoK will be, as we usually say, a battle that will be decided by the thread.