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Gold futures price

Business

Falling Gold Prices Due to Rise in US Bond Yields and Strong Retail Sales

by Chief editor of world-today-news.com August 15, 2023
written by Chief editor of world-today-news.com

The price of gold futures continued to fall. Recently dropped to $ 1,940, affected by the rebound in US government bond yields. This increases the opportunity cost of holding gold. Because gold is an asset without interest in the form of returns.

At 10:57 p.m. Thai time, the COMEX (Commodity Exchange) gold contract is delivered in December. minus $ 4.50 or 0.23% to $ 1,939.50 / ounce

Yields on the 10-year U.S. Treasury rose to their highest in nearly 10 months after U.S. retail sales beat expectations on Tuesday. This will be a factor supporting interest rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve (Fed).

The 10-year government bond yield rebounded to 4.274 percent, the highest level since October 2022. As for the 2-year government bond yield, which is sensitive to the Fed’s monetary policy. It surged past 5% to 5.024%, its highest level since July 7.

The US Commerce Department said Retail sales rose 3.17% in July year on year. This was higher than analysts expected a 1.50% increase.

month by month Retail sales rose 0.7% in July, beating analysts’ expectations of a 0.4% increase.

Retail sales were boosted by online sales on Amazon Prime Day.

Excluding car sales Retail sales rose 1% in July, beating analysts’ expectations of a 0.4% increase.

2023-08-15 16:04:00
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August 15, 2023 0 comments
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Business

Gold Futures Surge as Dollar Weakens and US Employment Numbers Disappoint

by Chief editor of world-today-news.com August 4, 2023
written by Chief editor of world-today-news.com

The price of gold futures continued to rise, recently breaking through $ 1,980, driven by the weakening of the dollar. and the fall in US government bond yields. after the disclosure of US employment numbers

At 8:47 p.m. Thai time, the COMEX (Commodity Exchange) gold contract is delivered in December. plus $ 12.20 or 0.62% to $ 1,981.40 / ounce

A weaker dollar increases the attractiveness of gold. By making gold contracts cheaper for holders of other currencies. As for the fall in US government bond yields. This will reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. Because gold is an asset without interest in the form of interest.

dollar depreciation While US government bond yields declined. after the release of US employment numbers that are lower than expected This will slow down the interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed).

The US Department of Labor said that Nonfarm payrolls rose by 187,000 in July. This was below analysts’ expectations of 200,000 positions.

The unemployment rate fell to 3.5 percent, below analysts’ expectations of 3.6 percent.

In addition, the US Department of Labor has revised the employment numbers for June. Adjusted to an increase of 185,000 positions from the previously reported increase of 209,000 positions.

Meanwhile, workers’ average hourly wages rose 4.4 percent in July year on year. That was above analysts’ expectations of 4.2%.

month by month Average hourly wages for workers rose 0.4 percent, above analysts’ forecast of 0.3 percent.

Hourly wage numbers are the top priority for the Federal Reserve (Fed) in looking for signs of inflation.

As for the rate of entry into the US labor market. which represents the ratio of the labor force to the total population at 62.6%.

2023-08-04 13:51:25
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August 4, 2023 0 comments
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Business

Gold Futures Price Drops as Dollar Appreciates: Impact on Investors and Fed Monetary Policy

by Chief editor of world-today-news.com July 24, 2023
written by Chief editor of world-today-news.com

The price of gold futures continued to fall. Most recently broke the $1,960 level today. It was affected by the appreciation of the dollar. which will reduce the attractiveness of gold By making gold contracts more expensive for holders of other currencies.

At 1:35 a.m. Thai time, the COMEX (Commodity Exchange) gold contract is delivered in August. minus $ 8.80 or 0.45% to $ 1,957.80 / ounce

However, gold prices have been boosted by investors placing orders for gold as a safe-haven asset. After Russia announced it withdrew from the agreement to export grain from Ukraine via the Black Sea route. and attacked Ukrainian ports in the Black Sea

Investors are keeping an eye on the US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy meeting this week, with almost 100% weight on expectations that The Fed will raise interest rates by 0.25% in this round of meetings.

The latest CME Group FedWatch Tool indicates that investors are 99.8% weighting that the Fed will raise interest rates 0.25% to a range of 5.25-5.50% at its July 25-26 meeting, and only 0.2% weighting that the Fed will hold rates at 5.00-5.25%.

In addition, the market sees that the Fed is close to ending its rate-raising cycle. After revealing retail sales, the consumer price index (CPI) and the producer price index (PPI) were lower than expected. by investors predicting that The Fed will raise interest rates this month for the last time this year. and will maintain the interest rate for the remainder of the year. before cutting interest rates next year

Investors gave 39.9% weight to the Fed’s decision to cut interest rates by 0.25% to a range of 5.00-5.25% at its meeting on March 19-20, 2024, up from 32.9% last month.

2023-07-24 18:40:43
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July 24, 2023 0 comments
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Business

Gold Futures Price Continues to Fall Under Pressure from Dollar Appreciation, Investors Monitor US Inflation Releases and Fed Interest Rate Indications

by Chief editor of world-today-news.com July 10, 2023
written by Chief editor of world-today-news.com

The price of gold futures continued to fall. Most recently broke the $1,920 level today. under pressure from the appreciation of the dollar which will reduce the attractiveness of gold By making gold contracts more expensive for holders of other currencies.

At 8:05 p.m. Thai time, the COMEX (Commodity Exchange) gold contract is delivered in August. minus $ 13.60 or 0.7% to $ 1,919.90 / ounce

Investors keep an eye on US inflation releases this week.

The US will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June on Wednesday. and the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Thursday.

In addition, the market will keep an eye on the comments of several Federal Reserve officials (Fed) for any indication of the direction of the Fed interest rates.

Investors put more than 90% of their weight on the forecast that The Fed will raise interest rates this month. After the release of non-farm payrolls on Friday.

The latest CME Group FedWatch Tool shows investors are 92.4% weighing on the Fed raising interest rates by 0.25% to a range of 5.25-5.50% at its July 25-26 meeting, and 7.6% weighing on the Fed. will maintain the interest rate at 5.00-5.25%

Analysts stated that The Fed will continue to raise interest rates. Although the non-farm payrolls were released lower than expected. Because the wage figures in the report still indicate rising inflation.

“The lower-than-expected employment figures are not supported by other details in the employment reports. The Fed is still likely to raise interest rates by 0.25% this month,” said Academy Securities analyst Peter Scher.

2023-07-10 13:26:39
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July 10, 2023 0 comments
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Business

Gold Futures Rise on Weakening Dollar and Anticipated Fed Interest Rate Hold

by Chief editor of world-today-news.com June 8, 2023
written by Chief editor of world-today-news.com

The price of gold futures continued to rise. Recently broke the $ 1,980 level, driven by the weakening of the dollar. which will increase the attractiveness of gold By making gold contracts cheaper for holders of other currencies.

At 21.15 Thai time, the gold contract on the COMEX market (Commodity Exchange) was delivered in August. plus $ 22.80 or 1.16% to $ 1,981.20 / ounce

In addition, the price of gold also has a positive factor from the expectation that The US Federal Reserve (Fed) will hold interest rates at its meeting next week. Although the Bank of Canada and Australia announced an interest rate hike yesterday.

The latest CME Group’s FedWatch Tool indicates that investors are 70.1% weighing the Fed to hold interest rates between 5.00-5.25% at its June 13-14 meeting, and 29.9% weighing a Fed hike. Interest rate 0.25% to 5.25-5.50%

The Reserve Bank of Canada raised interest rates by 0.25% to 4.75%, its highest in 22 years, while the Reserve Bank of Australia raised it by 0.25% to 4.10%, its highest in 11 years.

Several Fed officials have signaled earlier in support of the Fed holding off on raising interest rates at this meeting.

Investors are eyeing the May release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on June 13, before the Fed announces the results of its monetary policy meeting on June 14. The headline CPI and the core CPI are slowing down. But it is still higher than the Fed’s 2% target.


2023-06-08 14:21:07
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June 8, 2023 0 comments
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Business

Gold Futures Continue to Plummet Amidst Investor Concerns Over Fed Interest Rate Hikes

by Chief editor of world-today-news.com April 21, 2023
written by Chief editor of world-today-news.com

The price of gold futures continued to plummet. Recently, it dropped $30, breaking the level of $1,990 today. While investors are worried that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue to raise interest rates to curb inflation.

At 9:26 p.m. Thai time, the COMEX (Commodity Exchange) gold contract is delivered in June. minus $ 30.50 or 1.50% to $ 1,988.60 / ounce

Rising interest rates will increase the opportunity cost of holding gold. Because gold is an asset without interest in the form of interest.

In addition, the Fed’s interest rate hike will strengthen the dollar. which will reduce the attractiveness of gold By making gold contracts more expensive for holders of other currencies.

Fed officials will be able to comment on monetary policy today for the last time. Before entering the blackout period tomorrow While the Fed will hold a policy meeting on May 2-3, which is in line with Fed rules.

Fed regulations prohibit Fed officials from making public comments. or giving interviews during the Blackout Period on monetary policy It starts the second Saturday before the Fed’s monetary policy meeting (FOMC) and ends the Thursday after the FOMC meeting.

The CME Group’s FedWatch Tool indicates investors are 84.0% weighing the Fed raising interest rates by 0.25% to a range of 5.00-5.25% at its May 2-3 meeting, and 16.0% weighing it. The interest rate is maintained at 4.75-5.00%.

Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic said he expects the Fed to raise rates one more time before suspending interest rates to consider the impact on the economy from the Fed’s tightening policy. finance

However, Mr Bostic said The Fed will not cut interest rates this year. because inflation remains high That’s compared with the Fed’s 2 percent target, despite several Fed officials warning at the March meeting that the United States could face a recession this year.

Bostic’s statement defied market expectations. which sees the Fed to cut interest rates by 0.50% before the end of 2023


April 21, 2023 0 comments
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