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Stock Market Update: Dow Jones Closes Positive on Expectations of Fed Interest Rate Cuts
Business

Stock Market Update: Dow Jones Closes Positive on Expectations of Fed Interest Rate Cuts

by Chief editor of world-today-news.com December 19, 2023
written by Chief editor of world-today-news.com

The Dow Jones New York Stock Exchange Index closed positive on Monday (Dec. 18), with the market still supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin cutting interest rates next year. While investors keep an eye on US economic data this week. Including the November Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, which is a measure of inflation that the Fed cares about.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 37,306.02 points, up 0.86 points or +0.002%, the S&P500 Index closed at 4,740.56 points, up 21.37 points or +0.45%, and the Nasdaq Index closed at 14,904.81 points, up 90.89 points, +0.61%.

Tom Henlin, analyst at US Bank Wealth Management, said: “The market continues to move in line with expectations that the Fed will start cutting interest rates next year. Economic data that has been disclosed in the past Whether it is the inflation number consumer spending and the labor market They weren’t too bad or too hot. The economy is in a suitable condition like this, which is still the supporting factor for this forecast.”

In the past week The Dow rose 2.9%, the S&P 500 rose 2.5% and the Nasdaq rose 2.8%. All three major indexes rose for a seventh straight week, their longest since 2017, driven by a trend that The Fed will lower interest rates next year.

This is despite the fact that many Fed officials These include Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsby and New York Fed President John Williams. Has come out to express negative opinions about the trend of reducing interest rates. But investors still expect the Fed to begin cutting interest rates at its March meeting. 2024, with the latest CME Group’s FedWatch Tool indicating that investors gave 63.4% weight in expecting the Fed to cut interest rates by 0.25% at its March meeting. 2567

Among the 11 stocks included in the S&P 500 Index, communications services stocks posted the strongest gains. These included Meta Platforms shares up 2.9%, Netflix shares up 3%, Spotify shares up 0.4%, and Alphabet shares up 2.4%.

Energy stocks rebound after WTI oil price surges above $72/barrel. After Yemen’s Houthi rebels attacked several merchant ships in the Red Sea. This has raised concerns about the supply of oil in the market.

Shares of United States Steel (US Steel), a major U.S. steel producer, soared 26.1% to close at their highest in more than 12 years, after Nippon Steel, Japan’s largest steel producer. Announces acquisition of US Steel for $14.1 billion The company formed after the merger will become the third largest steel producer in the world and make Nippon Steel has a global crude steel production capacity of approximately 86 million tonnes per annum, paving the way to reach its 100 million tonnes per annum target.

Apple shares dropped 0.85% after it was reported that Chinese government agencies and companies have issued orders to employees to stop bringing iPhones and other mobile devices from foreign companies. to use in the workplace

Investors keep an eye on important US economic data this week. This includes Nov. second-hand home sales, Q3/2023 gross domestic product, Nov. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, Nov. durable goods orders. September and new home sales in November

2023-12-18 23:37:22
#York #Stock #Market #Conditions #Dow #Jones #closed #points #accepting #expectations #Fed #cutting #interest #rates #year

December 19, 2023 0 comments
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Business

Dow Jones New York Stock Exchange Index Closes at Record High for Third Consecutive Day, Fed’s Rate Cut Signal Boosts Market

by Chief editor of world-today-news.com December 16, 2023
written by Chief editor of world-today-news.com

The Dow Jones New York Stock Exchange Index closed positive on Friday (Dec. 15), closing at a record high for the third day in a row, as investors continued to respond to the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) signal that it would start to cut back. Interest rates next year

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 37,305.16 points, up 56.81 points or +0.15%, the S&P500 index closed at 4,719.19 points, down 0.36 points or -0.001%, and the Nasdaq index closed at 14,813.92 points, up 52.36 points or +0.35%.

In this week The Dow added 2.9%, the S&P 500 rose 2.5% and the Nasdaq rose 2.8%.

The S&P 500 index rose for the seventh week in a row. This is the longest since 2017, driven by the prospect of the Fed cutting interest rates next year.

However, the comments of John Williams, President of the New York Fed, stated that It’s too early to talk about that rate cut. has reduced the positive force in the market

Stocks that are sensitive to interest rates, such as real estate and public utilities groups fell more than 1% and curtailed this week’s positive session.

The New York Stock Exchange soared. After the Fed signaled in its policy statement on Wednesday (Dec. 13) that the Fed will begin lowering interest rates next year.

The semiconductor stock index rose 9.1% this week. This is the largest weekly percentage increase since May.

The market trading volume reached 19.76 billion shares. This compares to the average volume of 11.8 billion shares in the past 20 business days.

Costco Wholesale shares jumped 4.4% after revealing first-quarter earnings beat expectations. Due to the demand for cheap consumer products

The market was also supported by the release of a survey of business activities in the country that improved in December. Amid increasing orders and labor demand This may help alleviate concerns about a sharp slowdown in the US economy in 4Q23.

S&P Global released Friday (Dec. 15) its Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), a composite of U.S. manufacturing and primary services sectors. rose to 51.0 in December, the highest level in five months, from 50.7 in November, with the PMI index above 50 indicating expansion of the US business sector.

2023-12-15 23:28:41
#York #Stock #Market #Situation #Dow #Jones #closed #positive #points #response #hopes #Fed #cutting #interest #rates

December 16, 2023 0 comments
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Gold futures prices flow continuously.  Recently, it dropped more than 30 dollars, close to falling out.
Business

Gold futures prices flow continuously. Recently, it dropped more than 30 dollars, close to falling out.

by Chief editor of world-today-news.com December 8, 2023
written by Chief editor of world-today-news.com

Gold futures fell more than 1%, nearing the $2,010 level after the United States revealed strong non-agricultural employment numbers. This raises concerns about the prospect of lowering interest rates by the US Federal Reserve (Fed).

At 12:47 a.m. Thai time, gold contracts on the COMEX (Commodity Exchange) market will be delivered in February. minus $33.50 or 1.64% to $2,012.90/ounce.

In addition, gold prices have been pressured by the strengthening of the dollar. and the rebound in US government bond yields. After the release of non-agricultural employment numbers today

A stronger dollar reduces the attractiveness of gold. By making gold contracts more expensive for holders of other currencies Meanwhile, a rebound in US government bond yields will increase the opportunity cost of holding gold. This is because gold is an asset that has no return in the form of interest.

Investors still put almost 100% of their weight on the forecast. The Fed will announce that interest rates will remain steady at next week’s meeting. But lose weight in predicting that The Fed will cut interest rates at the earliest at its March 2024 meeting. After the United States revealed higher-than-expected non-agricultural employment figures.

The latest CME Group’s FedWatch Tool indicates that investors give a 98.2% weight to the expectation that the Fed will maintain interest rates at 5.25-5.50% at its meeting on Dec. 12-13, 2023, and a 92.2% weight at The Fed will maintain interest rates in January 2024.

However, investors gave only 45.6% weight to the Fed to cut interest rates by 0.25% to 5.00-5.25% at its March 2024 meeting. from the original weight of 55.4% yesterday

In addition, investors weigh 51.7% that the Fed will maintain interest rates at 5.25-5.50% at its March 2024 meeting. from the original weight of only 35.4% yesterday

The US Department of Labor revealed that Non-agricultural employment figures increased by 199,000 jobs in November. This was higher than analysts’ expectations of 180,000 jobs and up from 150,000 jobs in October.

The unemployment rate dropped to 3.7%, lower than analysts’ expectations of 3.9%.

Meanwhile, workers’ average hourly wages rose 4.0% year-on-year in November. In line with analysts’ forecasts.

compared monthly The average hourly wage for workers rose 0.4%, beating analysts’ expectations of 0.3%.

Hourly wages are important data for the Fed to look for signs of inflation.

As for the numbers on the labor market entry rate in the United States, which shows the ratio of the labor force to the total population is at 62.8%.


2023-12-08 17:53:55
#Gold #futures #prices #flow #continuously #dropped #dollars #close #falling

December 8, 2023 0 comments
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Keep an eye on Powell’s statement before the Fed enters the blackout period.
Business

Keep an eye on Powell’s statement before the Fed enters the blackout period.

by Chief editor of world-today-news.com December 1, 2023
written by Chief editor of world-today-news.com

Investors will be keeping an eye on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s statement today for signs of the Fed’s interest rate direction. Before the Fed begins its Blackout Period tomorrow.

Mr. Powell is scheduled to speak at two rounds of talks today to be held in Atlanta, Georgia, with the first round starting at 11:00 a.m. US time or 11:00 p.m. Thai time. The second round of the seminar will begin at 2:00 PM US time. or tonight at 2:00 a.m. Thai time

The Fed will begin its Blackout Period tomorrow. Before the Fed holds its monetary policy meeting (FOMC) on December 12-13.

Fed regulations prohibit Fed officials from giving comments or giving interviews during the Blackout Period regarding monetary policy. It begins on the second Saturday before the FOMC meeting and ends on the Thursday after the FOMC meeting, to prevent the public from interpreting it as an indication of interest rate action by the Fed at the upcoming monetary policy meeting. to

The market predicts that The Fed has ended the cycle of raising interest rates. After the disclosure of the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index that slowed from September.

Investors put their weight in forecasting that The Fed will maintain interest rates at its December 2023, January 2024, and March 2024 meetings before cutting interest rates in May 2024 and June 2024.

CME Group’s latest FedWatch Tool indicates that investors are 99.4% positive that the Fed will maintain interest rates at 5.25-5.50% at its December 2023 meeting.

Meanwhile, investors expect the Fed to maintain interest rates at 5.25-5.50% at its January 2024 and March 2024 meetings before cutting interest rates by 0.25% to 5.00-5.25%. May 2024 meeting and reduce interest rates by 0.25% to 4.75-5.00% at the June 2024 meeting.


2023-12-01 11:46:57
#eye #Powells #statement #Fed #enters #blackout #period

December 1, 2023 0 comments
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Business

New York Stock Market Conditions: Dow Jones closed up only 13.44 points.

by Chief editor of world-today-news.com November 30, 2023
written by Chief editor of world-today-news.com

The Dow Jones New York Stock Exchange index closed slightly positive on Wednesday (Nov. 29), while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq index closed in negative territory as inconsistent signals from Federal Reserve officials left the market uncertain about The length of the Fed’s monetary policy tightening Meanwhile, investors are keeping an eye on the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index today. To assess inflation trends and the direction of the Fed’s interest rates.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 35,430.42 points, up 13.44 points or +0.04%, the S&P 500 Index closed at 4,550.58 points, down 4.31 points or -0.09%, and the Nasdaq Index closed at 14,258.49 points, down 23.27 points or -0.16%.

Trading conditions on the New York Stock Exchange were volatile last night. After Fed officials issued a signal that created uncertainty for the market, Mr. Thomas Barkin, president of the Richmond Fed, told CNBC yesterday that He is uncertain whether US inflation will fall to the Fed’s target of 2% and whether the Fed will need to raise interest rates again if inflation picks up.

Mr. Barkin’s opinion expressed Contrary to what Mr. Christopher Waller, a member of the Fed Board of Governors said, He is increasingly confident that the Fed’s policy interest rates are now tight enough to slow the economy. This brings inflation back to the Fed’s target level of 2%. Waller also signaled the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates in the coming months. So that the economy can avoid recession.

“The mixed signals from Fed officials have led markets to worry that the Fed may hold interest rates high for an extended period of time,” said Tim Criskey, an analyst at Ingalls & Snyder. This is especially true at a time when the US economy is relatively strong and there is a risk that inflation will surge again. Another factor that causes the market to weaken is This comes from investors taking profits after the market’s strong rally this month.”

The US Department of Commerce released its second estimate of gross domestic product (GDP) for the 3rd quarter of 2023, stating that GDP expanded 5.2%, higher than the first estimate of 4.9% and higher than the US Department of Commerce’s forecast. Analysts at 5.0%, supported by private investment and government spending.

Among the 11 sectors included in the S&P 500 Index, real estate and financial stocks posted the strongest gains. Meanwhile, communications services stocks fell.

Technology stocks, which are more sensitive to interest rates, fell, with Microsoft down 1%, Meta Platforms down 2%, Apple down 0.5% and Alphabet down 1.6. %

General Motors (GM) shares rose 9.4% after the company announced a $10 billion stock buyback. and increasing dividend payments to shareholders to 33%

Shares of Foot Locker, a major U.S. sports equipment retailer, jumped more than 16% after the company reported third-quarter 2023 earnings per share of 30 cents, beating analysts’ expectations of 21 cents.

Investors are keeping an eye on the October release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index in the US today. The PCE index is the Fed’s main measure of inflation. Because it can detect changes in consumer behavior and covers the prices of goods and services more broadly than the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

Analysts predict that the general PCE index, which includes food and energy categories, will will increase 3.1% in October year-on-year from 3.4% in September. The core PCE index, which does not include food and energy, is expected to increase 3.5% in October. . Year-on-year from 3.7% in September.


2023-11-29 23:38:51
#York #Stock #Market #Conditions #Dow #Jones #closed #points

November 30, 2023 0 comments
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Business

The price of gold futures has continued to surge, most recently exceeding $2,040.

by Chief editor of world-today-news.com November 28, 2023
written by Chief editor of world-today-news.com

Gold futures prices continue to rise. It most recently surpassed the $2,040 level today. The positive factor was the weakening of the dollar. and the prediction that The Federal Reserve (Fed) has ended the cycle of raising interest rates.

At 11:57 p.m. Thai time, gold contracts on the COMEX (Commodity Exchange) market will be delivered in December. added $28.10, or 1.40%, to $2,040.50/ounce.

The Dollar Index measures the dollar’s movement against six major basket currencies. Dropped to the lowest level in 3 months today. and is likely to fall by more than 3% this month, which will be the biggest decline in 1 year.

A weaker dollar increases the attractiveness of gold. This makes gold contracts cheaper for holders of other currencies.

Investors speculate that the Fed has ended its cycle of raising interest rates. After raising interest rates 11 times since the start of the interest rate hike cycle in March 2022, As a result, the Fed raised interest rates by 5.25%.

The latest CME Group’s FedWatch Tool indicates that investors expect the Fed to maintain interest rates at 5.25-5.50% at its meetings in December 2023, January 2024, March 2024 and May. 2024 before reducing the interest rate by 0.25% to the level of 5.00-5.25% at the June 2024 meeting.

Investors will also be keeping an eye on the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index due to be released on Thursday. The PCE index is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation. Because it can detect changes in consumer behavior and covers the prices of goods and services more broadly than the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

Analysts predict that the PCE index will slow down in October. This will be a supporting factor for the Fed to stop raising interest rates.

The general PCE index, which includes food and energy categories, is expected to increase 3.1% in October year-on-year from 3.4% in September.

On a monthly basis, it is expected that the general PCE index increased 0.1% in October from 0.4% in September.

As for the basic PCE index, which does not include food and energy categories. It is expected to increase 3.5% in October year-on-year from 3.7% in September.

On a monthly basis, it is expected that the core PCE index increased 0.2% in October from 0.3% in September.


2023-11-28 17:19:07
#price #gold #futures #continued #surge #exceeding

November 28, 2023 0 comments
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