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Dow Jones Rises as Investors Expect Fed to Hold Interest Rates Steady, Nasdaq Futures Fall, Market Eyes Jerome Powell’s Statement and US Employment Figures

by Chief editor of world-today-news.com January 31, 2024
written by Chief editor of world-today-news.com

The Dow Jones index rose nearly 100 points as investors expected the Federal Reserve (Fed) to hold interest rates steady at tonight’s monetary policy meeting, in line with market expectations.

As of 9:36 p.m. Thai time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was at 38,562.27 points, plus 94.96 points or 0.25%.

However, Nasdaq futures fell nearly 1%, pressured by falling stock prices of Alphabet and Microsoft after the earnings release yesterday.

Markets pay close attention to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s statement after tonight’s meeting. To find signs indicating the direction of the Fed’s interest rates this year.

Investors put almost 100% of their weight on expectations that the Fed will maintain interest rates at this meeting.

CME Group’s latest FedWatch Tool indicates that investors are 97.9% positive that the Fed will maintain interest rates at 5.25-5.50% at today’s meeting. and gave a weight of 54.4% that the Fed will maintain interest rates at that level at its March meeting.

In addition, investors gave 51.7% weight to the Fed to cut interest rates by 0.25% to 5.00-5.25% at its May meeting. This will be the first interest rate cut. After the Fed raised interest rates 11 times since the start of the rate hike cycle in March 2022, As a result, the Fed raised interest rates by 5.25%.

Meanwhile, the market is keeping an eye on US employment figures this week.

The U.S. Department of Labor will release January nonfarm payroll figures on Friday.

Analysts predict that Employment numbers increased by 173,000 in January. This slowed from the level of 216,000 jobs in December. And the unemployment rate is expected to increase to 3.8% in January from 3.7% in December.

2024-01-31 14:45:47
#Dow #Jones #surges #points #speculating #Fed #hold #interest #rates #tonight #expected

January 31, 2024 0 comments
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Dow Jones Closes Negative as Banks’ Earnings Overshadow Lower Inflation
Business

Dow Jones Closes Negative as Banks’ Earnings Overshadow Lower Inflation

by Chief editor of world-today-news.com January 13, 2024
written by Chief editor of world-today-news.com

The Dow Jones New York Stock Exchange Index closed negative on Friday (Jan. 12), while the S&P 500 Index and Nasdaq Index closed slightly positive after volatile trading. Banks’ tepid earnings releases overshadowed positives from lower-than-expected inflation data, which supported expectations that The US Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower interest rates.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 37,592.98 points, down 118.04 points or -0.31%, the S&P 500 index closed at 4,783.83 points, up 3.59 points or +0.08%, and the Nasdaq index closed at 14,972.76 points, up 2.58 points or +0.02%.

In this week The Dow added 0.34%, the S&P 500 rose 1.84% and the Nasdaq rose 3.09%, with the S&P 500 posting its biggest weekly gain since mid-December. And the Nasdaq index posted its biggest weekly gain since the beginning of November.

The Labor Department released its PPI index, which measures inflation in producer spending, for December on Friday. The headline PPI, which includes food and energy, rose 1.0% in December. . compared yearly This was lower than analysts’ expectations of 1.3% from 0.8% in November. On a monthly basis, the headline PPI fell 0.1% in December, while analysts expected it to rise 0.1%. After falling 0.1% in November.

The Core PPI index, which does not include food and energy, increased 1.8% in December year-on-year. This was lower than analysts’ expectations of 1.9% from 2.0% in November. On a month-to-month basis, the core PPI index was unchanged in December. While analysts expect it may increase 0.2% from 0.0% in November.

Such data has caused US bond yields to fall, and the latest CME Group’s FedWatch Tool indicates that investors are 79.5% favoring the Fed to cut interest rates by 0.25% to 5.00-5.25% at its meeting on 19-20. March 20, after giving it a weight of 73.2% on Thursday (Jan. 11).

The S&P Banking Index closed down 1.26% after falling as much as 1.7%.

Bank of America shares fell 1.06% after revealing Q4 2023 profits contracted, while Wells Fargo shares fell 3.34% after warning that net interest income would drop 7-9% this year.

But Citigroup shares rose 1.04% after reporting a loss of $1.8 billion in the fourth quarter and expecting further job cuts.

JPMorgan Chase fell 0.73% despite reporting record annual profit and expecting higher-than-expected interest income this year.

United Health shares fell 3.37% after the company reported larger-than-expected increases in medical costs. which weighed down the Dow Jones Index significantly

Delta Air Lines shares fell 8.97% after downgrading its annual profit outlook.

Tesla shares fell 3.67% after lowering prices of some new electric car models in China. and plans to suspend production of most cars at its plant near Berlin.

2024-01-12 23:32:04
#York #Stock #Market #Situation #Dow #Jones #closed #points #Investors #disappointed #results

January 13, 2024 0 comments
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Business

US Stock Market Sees Positive Close with Fed Interest Rate Cut Expectations

by Chief editor of world-today-news.com December 27, 2023
written by Chief editor of world-today-news.com

The Dow Jones New York Stock Exchange index closed positive on Wednesday (Dec. 27), while the S&P 500 index moved closer to record highs. The market still receives positive factors from the expectation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin cutting interest rates in March next year.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 37,656.52 points, up 111.19 points or +0.30%, the S&P 500 Index closed at 4,781.58 points, up 6.83 points or +0.14%, and the Nasdaq Index closed at 15,099.18 points, up 24.60 points or +0.16%.

During the day, all three main indices moved in both positive and negative territory. Before closing, the market rebounded, with all 3 indices likely to increase on a monthly, quarterly, and annual basis.

The New York Stock Exchange has posted a record eight straight weeks of gains, supported by expectations that the Fed will end its cycle of raising interest rates and begin cutting rates next year. After US inflation slowed down In particular, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index came out lower than expected in November.

CME Group’s latest FedWatch Tool indicates that investors give 73.9% of their weight in predicting that the Fed will begin cutting interest rates by 0.25 percentage points at its March meeting. 2024

Mr. Robert Kaplan, former president of the Dallas Fed Said on the program “Squawk Box” of CNBC television station yesterday that He expects the Fed to start cutting interest rates soon. This is because the Fed wants to avoid the risk of sending the US economy into recession. And the Fed wants to avoid overly tight monetary policy. This makes it necessary for the Fed to cut interest rates if inflation continues to slow.

Chuck Carlson, an analyst with Horizon Investment Services in Indiana Express your opinion that “Trading conditions in the market were quite sluggish last night. This is because there are hardly any new factors coming in to stimulate the market. and trading volume is light Currently, there are only 3 business days left until the end of the year. This means that investors have 3 days to window dress their accounts.”

Among the 11 stocks included in the S&P 500 index, real estate stocks posted the strongest gains. Meanwhile, energy stocks fell. After WTI oil prices plummeted nearly 2%

Microsoft shares fell 0.15% after reports that the New York Times filed a lawsuit against Microsoft. and OpenAI, the developer of the chatbot ChatGPT, accusing the companies of infringing the New York Times’ intellectual property rights. This includes illegal copying and use of New York Times valuable and unique works. along with calling for Microsoft and OpenAI to be held accountable for damages worth billions of dollars

Apple shares closed slightly positive. After the US Court of Appeals issued a temporary restraining order against Apple’s importation of the Apple Watch. This order is considered a victory for Apple. This allows the company to continue selling the Apple Watch Series 9 and Apple Watch Ultra 2 at the end of the year. This is when the company generates a lot of sales. Apple ended sales of the two Apple Watch models last week. After the US International Trade Commission (ITC) determined that the two Apple Watch models infringed on the blood oxygen measurement patent of Masimo, a medical device manufacturer, the ITC issued an order banning imports and Selling Apple Watch that uses technology to measure blood oxygen levels.

2023-12-27 23:27:54
#York #Stock #Market #Situation #Dow #Jones #closed #positive #points #accepting #downward #trend #interest #rates

December 27, 2023 0 comments
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Stock Market and Oil Prices Soar as Hopes for Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts Rise – Dec. 26, 2023
Business

Stock Market and Oil Prices Soar as Hopes for Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts Rise – Dec. 26, 2023

by Chief editor of world-today-news.com December 27, 2023
written by Chief editor of world-today-news.com

Index and stock market conditions, oil, gold, and foreign currency markets as of 26 Dec. 2023

— The Dow Jones New York Stock Exchange Index closed positive on Tuesday (Dec. 26), supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin cutting interest rates as early as March 2018. page

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 37,545.33 points, up 159.36 points or +0.43%, the S&P 500 Index closed at 4,774.75 points, up 20.12 points or +0.42%, and the Nasdaq Index closed at 15,074.57 points, up 81.60 points or +0.54%.

— West Texas crude oil futures (WTI) in New York closed up more than 2% on Tuesday (Dec. 26) after reports that Houthi rebels continued to attack cargo ships in the Red Sea. This may affect oil supply. The market is also supported by hopes that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will start cutting interest rates next year. This will help stimulate the economy and demand for oil.

The WTI crude oil contract will be delivered in February. rose $2.01 or 2.7% to close at $75.57/barrel.

The Brent crude oil contract (BRENT) will be delivered in February. rose $2 or 2.5% to close at $81.07/barrel.

— New York gold futures closed positive on Tuesday (Dec. 26) as the depreciation of the dollar was a factor supporting the market.

The COMEX (Commodity Exchange) gold contract will be delivered in February. Rose 70 cents, or 0.03%, to close at $2,069.80/ounce.

Silver contract for March delivery fell 16.90 cents, or 0.69%, to close at $24.396/ounce.

Platinum contract for delivery in January. Rose $1.90 or 0.19% to close at $995.60/ounce.

Palladium contract for delivery in March. fell $34.30, or 2.8%, to close at $1,189.40/ounce.

— The U.S. dollar weakened against major currencies in trading on the New York Forex Exchange on Tuesday (Dec. 26), with the greenback continuing to weaken. Amid expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates next year. After the United States revealed lower-than-expected inflation numbers

The dollar index, which measures the dollar’s movement against six major currencies, fell 0.25% to 101.44.

The New York Stock Exchange DJIA index closed at 37,545.33 points, up 159.36 points, +0.43%.

The S&P500 New York Stock Exchange index closed at 4,774.75 points, up 20.12 points, +0.42%.

The NASDAQ New York Stock Exchange index closed at 15,074.57 points, up 81.60 points, +0.54%.

The London Stock Exchange is closed on December 26 for Boxing Day.

The French stock market is closed on December 26 for Boxing Day.

The German stock market is closed on December 26 for Boxing Day.

The Australian stock market is closed on December 26 for Boxing Day.

The Japanese stock market NIKKEI 225 index closed at 33,305.85 points, up 51.82 points, +0.16%.

The KOSPI South Korean stock market index closed at 2,602.59 points, up 3.08 points, +0.12%.

The TAIEX index of the Taiwan stock market closed at 17,751.73 points, up 146.89 points, +0.83%.

The SSE Composite Index of the Chinese stock market closed at 2,898.88 points, down 19.93 points, -0.68%.

The Hong Kong stock market is closed on December 26 for Christmas Day.

The Indian stock market SENSEX index closed at 71,336.80 points, up 229.84 points, +0.32%.

The Indonesian stock market is closed on December 26 for Christmas Day.

The Philippine stock market is closed on Dec. 26 for Christmas Day.

FBMKLCI Malaysian stock market index closed at 1,450.78 points, down 3.60 points, -0.25%.

The FTSE STI Singapore Stock Exchange Index closed at 3,139.98 points, down 0.34 points, -0.01%.

2023-12-27 00:25:46
#World #Markets #Summary #stock #market #oil #gold #foreign #currency #markets

December 27, 2023 0 comments
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Dow Jones Index Surges 200 Points in Response to US Economy Growth Slowdown, Fed Expected to Cut Interest Rates
Business

Dow Jones Index Surges 200 Points in Response to US Economy Growth Slowdown, Fed Expected to Cut Interest Rates

by Chief editor of world-today-news.com December 21, 2023
written by Chief editor of world-today-news.com

The Dow Jones Index opened the market up more than 200 points in response to the US economy expanding less than expected in the 3rd quarter of 2023, which will be a factor supporting the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to stop raising interest rates. and begin reducing interest rates next year.

As of 9:31 p.m. Thai time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was at 37,314.22 points, plus 232.22 points or 0.63%.

Moreover, the market was supported by the weakening of the dollar. and the 10-year US government bond yield fell close to 3.8% today.

The weakening of the dollar will boost the profits of listed companies with foreign revenue. As for the decline in the yield on the 10-year US government bond, which is a US government bond used as a reference for determining the price of debt instruments around the world. This includes US mortgage interest rates. It will give consumers more money to spend. and help reduce debt service costs for companies This allows these companies to increase investment. and increasing dividend payments to investors

CME Group’s FedWatch Tool indicates that investors expect The Fed will begin cutting interest rates at its March 2024 meeting. And the Fed will cut interest rates 6 times in 2024, cutting interest rates by 0.25% each time, for a total of 1.50%, more than the Fed has signaled to cut interest rates 3 times, by 0.25% each time, for a total of 0.75%.

The U.S. Department of Commerce today released its third estimate for 3rd quarter 2023 gross domestic product (GDP), saying the U.S. economy expanded 4.9% in the quarter. This was lower than analysts’ estimates of 5.1%, while the first and second estimates were 4.9% and 5.2%, respectively.

The US economy expanded 2.2% and 2.1% in the first and second quarters, respectively.

The market is keeping an eye on the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index tomorrow. This is the measure of inflation that the Fed cares about. Because it can detect changes in consumer behavior and covers the prices of goods and services more broadly than the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

Analysts expect that the Headline PCE index, which includes food and energy categories, rose 2.8% year-on-year in November from 3.0% in October.

When compared monthly, it is expected that the general PCE index will not change in November. or increased by 0.0% from the level of 0.0% as well in October.

As for the Core PCE Index (Core PCE), which does not include food and energy categories. It is expected to increase 3.4% in November year-on-year from 3.5% in October.

On a monthly basis, it is expected that the core PCE index increased 0.2% in November after also increasing 0.2% in October.

2023-12-21 14:40:51
#Dow #Jones #opens #market #points #bouncing #GDP #expected #encourage #Fed #stop #raising #budget

December 21, 2023 0 comments
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Gold Futures Prices Rebound Above $2,050 as US Economy Expands Lower than Expected in 3rd Quarter
Business

Gold Futures Prices Rebound Above $2,050 as US Economy Expands Lower than Expected in 3rd Quarter

by Chief editor of world-today-news.com December 21, 2023
written by Chief editor of world-today-news.com

Gold futures prices rebounded above the $2,050 level after the US economy expanded lower than expected in the 3rd quarter of 2023, which will be a supporting factor for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to stop raising interest rates. and begin reducing interest rates next year.

At 10:10 p.m. Thai time, gold contracts on the COMEX (Commodity Exchange) market will be delivered in February. added $6.90 or 0.33% to $2,054.60/ounce.

In addition, gold prices also received positive factors from the weakening of the dollar. and the fall in US government bond yields.

A weaker dollar increases the attractiveness of gold. This makes gold contracts cheaper for holders of other currencies. As for the fall in US government bond yields It will help reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. This is because gold is an asset that has no return in the form of interest.

The U.S. Department of Commerce today released its third estimate for 3rd quarter 2023 gross domestic product (GDP), saying the U.S. economy expanded 4.9% in the quarter. This was lower than analysts’ estimates of 5.1%, while the first and second estimates were 4.9% and 5.2%, respectively.

The US economy expanded 2.2% and 2.1% in the first and second quarters, respectively.

CME Group’s FedWatch Tool indicates that investors expect the Fed to start cutting interest rates at its March 2024 meeting. And the Fed will cut interest rates 6 times in 2024, cutting interest rates by 0.25% each time, for a total of 1.50%, more than the Fed has signaled to cut interest rates 3 times, by 0.25% each time, for a total of 0.75%.

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index due to be released on Friday. The PCE index is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation. Because it can detect changes in consumer behavior and covers the prices of goods and services more broadly than the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

Analysts expect that the Headline PCE index, which includes food and energy categories, rose 2.8% year-on-year in November from 3.0% in October.

When compared monthly, it is expected that the general PCE index will not change in November. or increased by 0.0% from the level of 0.0% as well in October.

As for the Core PCE Index (Core PCE), which does not include food and energy categories. It is expected to increase 3.4% in November year-on-year from 3.5% in October.

On a monthly basis, it is expected that the core PCE index increased 0.2% in November after also increasing 0.2% in October.

2023-12-21 15:23:44
#Gold #futures #prices #continue #rebound #exceeding

December 21, 2023 0 comments
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