NFL Betting Predictions – Week 13: Thanksgiving Day 2025 Slate Analyzed
ARLINGTON, TX – As the NFL enters Week 13, a traditionally pivotal point in the season, Thanksgiving Day and black Friday games offer a concentrated burst of action for bettors. Early lines and betting trends suggest potential advantages for home teams and offenses poised to capitalize on holiday matchups. Here’s a breakdown of predictions for the two Thanksgiving Day contests, factoring in line movement, ticket and money percentages, and team performance data.
This week’s games present a unique betting landscape, blending tradition with evolving team dynamics. Understanding thes factors is crucial for informed wagering as the playoff picture begins to solidify. Analysis focuses on the Packers-Lions and Chiefs-Cowboys games, providing insights into potential outcomes and betting opportunities.
Packers @ Lions (-2.5, 48.5)
- Line Movement: Opened at Lions -2.5 and has remained steady.
- Tickets: 51% on Packers
- Money: 70% on Lions
Detroit has averaged 34.7 points per game at home, boasting an 11-3 record at Ford Field since the start of last season.
Green Bay, prior to Week 12, had faced the tenth easiest schedule according to PFF, and the sixth easiest according to DVOA. Conversely, the Lions have encountered the sixth and twentieth most difficult schedules, respectively.
The Lions have won six of the last eight games in this series, while Green Bay has only covered the spread in one of their last seven road games.
Forecast: Lions 27, Packers 20 – OUT
Chiefs @ Cowboys (+3.5, 52.5)
Dallas’ recent resurgence was largely fueled by…
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