NFL Betting Trends to know for Thanksgiving, Week 13’s Biggest Games
Philadelphia, PA - As teh NFL heads into its Week 13 slate featuring a new “Black Friday” game, sharp bettors are analyzing key trends to gain an edge. Hear’s a breakdown of betting insights for two of the weekend’s biggest matchups: Bengals-Ravens and Bears-Eagles.
Bengals at Ravens
The Bengals and Ravens rivalry consistently delivers high-scoring affairs. Eight of the last nine battles between the teams have gone over the total, with the last five in a row exceeding the number. Recent final scores reflect this trend: 27-24, 34-20, 41-38, and 35-34.
Despite losing six of the last seven in Baltimore, the Bengals boast a strong 5-2 Against The Spread (ATS) record in those contests.Baltimore’s games initially favored the over,with their first five games this season hitting the closing total,but the under has prevailed in four of their last six. Cincinnati’s road games have also leaned towards the under, going 3-1-1. However, the over is 4-2 in games played at M&T Bank Stadium this season.
Bears at Eagles
Chicago has surged to first place in the NFC North with an 8-1 record, fueled by a four-game winning streak. Six of their eight victories have been decided by a mere 16 total points, showcasing their ability to win close games. The Bears are 7-2 ATS during their 8-1 run,including a 4-1 ATS record on the road. As a 52-21 loss to Detroit in Week 2, Chicago has performed well as an underdog, going 4-1 both Straight Up (SU) and ATS.
The Eagles, coming off a loss to Dallas, had previously won four straight SU and ATS. However,their offense has struggled recently,scoring 21 points or less in five of their last seven games. Philadelphia is 4-1 at home this season (3-2 ATS), with their only home loss coming against Denver (21-17 in Week 5). The eagles have dominated the Bears in recent history, winning five straight as 2013 and covering the spread in four of those matchups.
Philadelphia has recently shifted from a 5-1 ”over” stretch to a 3-0 “under” run. Conversely, Chicago has exceeded the closing total in four of its six road games, and eight of their 11 contests have featured at least 45 combined points (with one landing on 44).
Black Friday Game Context
The NFL introduced a “Black Friday” game two years ago.In 2023, the Dolphins defeated the Jets 34-13 as 9.5-point road favorites. Last year, the Chiefs edged the Raiders 19-17 but failed to cover as 13.5-point home favorites.
