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Mortgage Rates: Fed Cut Won’t Guarantee Lower Rates

by Priya Shah – Business Editor

Mortgage Rates Dip Following Federal Reserve Signals

Washington, D.C. – September 18, 2025 – Mortgage rates have begun to decline as financial markets react to signals from the Federal Reserve indicating potential interest rate cuts in the coming months. This shift is prompting a surge in applications for mortgage refinance loans, offering homeowners an possibility to potentially lower their monthly payments.

The Federal Reserve has suggested it may begin reducing benchmark interest rates as early as December 2025, contingent on continued economic advancement and sustained progress toward its 2% inflation target. This anticipated easing of monetary policy directly influences mortgage rates, which typically track the 10-year Treasury yield-a benchmark sensitive to Fed policy. Lower rates translate to reduced borrowing costs for homebuyers and those looking to refinance existing mortgages.

For homeowners, a general rule of thumb is to consider refinancing if they can secure a rate at least one percentage point lower than their current rate. This reduction can help offset the costs associated with refinancing, such as appraisal fees and origination charges. As of september 18, 2025, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate stands at 7.19%, down from a peak of 7.79% in late August 2025, according to Freddie Mac data.

The potential for rate cuts arrives after a period of aggressive tightening by the Fed throughout 2023 and 2024, aimed at curbing inflation. While inflation has cooled significantly from its 2022 highs, the Fed has maintained a cautious approach, emphasizing its commitment to price stability. The current outlook suggests a more accommodative stance as economic growth moderates and inflationary pressures ease further.

Those considering refinancing should carefully evaluate their financial situation and compare offers from multiple lenders to ensure they secure the moast favorable terms. Factors beyond the interest rate, such as loan fees and closing costs, should also be taken into account.

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