The No. 2 Arizona Wildcats host the No. 14 Kansas Jayhawks Saturday evening at McKale Center in Tucson, with Arizona favored by 8.5 points, according to DraftKings Sportsbook.
The game, scheduled for 9:00 PM EST and broadcast on ESPN, pits Arizona (26-2 13-2 in Big 12 play) against Kansas (21-7, 11-4). Arizona is currently -430 on the moneyline, while Kansas is +330.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 146.5. Odds Shark predicts a narrow Arizona victory, 77-75.3, but advises betting on Kansas to cover the spread. ESPN’s analytics provide Arizona an 81.1% chance of winning, with Kansas having an 18.9% probability of victory.
Arizona’s leading scorers are D. Peterson, averaging 19.5 points per game and B. Burries, with 15.5. For Kansas, Darryn Peterson leads with 19.5 PPG, followed by Brayden Burries at 15.5 PPG.
Several player updates have been reported. Kansas guard Will Thengvall is listed as out for Saturday’s game. Arizona forward Koa Peat is not listed on the injury report, and forward Dwayne Aristode is available to play after recovering from an illness.
Statistical models offer varying predictions. Dimers.com projects an 81-71 Arizona win, assigning an 82% win probability to the Wildcats and 18% to the Jayhawks. Dratings.com forecasts an 83.3-73.4 score, giving Arizona an 81.9% win probability.
Team statistics reveal Arizona leads in scoring, averaging 76.6 points per game compared to Kansas’s 68.9. Arizona also holds advantages in rebounding (35.6 to 40.3) and assists (17.4 to 10.6). Kansas allows 68.2 points per game, while Arizona allows 68.9.
The Wildcats must win by 11 points or more to cover the spread. A $100 bet on Arizona to cover would yield $518, while a $595 bet on Kansas would win $695.