Jets vs. Patriots Week 6 Odds: Model Projects Patriots to Cover
The New England Patriots host the New York Jets in an AFC East game on Sunday at Gillette Stadium, with kickoff set for 1 p.m. ET. DraftKings Sportsbook lists the Patriots as 7.5-point home favorites, with an Over/Under of 43.5 points.
Who is favored and what are the latest odds for Jets versus Patriots?
DraftKings lists the Patriots as -355 moneyline favorites, while the Jets sit at +280 underdogs. The point spread rests at 7.5 points in favor of New England. The Over/Under total is marked at 43.5, with the Over priced at -112 and the Under at -108.
How did both teams perform heading into Week 6?
The Patriots enter the matchup with a 3-2 record after a 45-17 victory over the Las Vegas Raiders. Quarterback Drake Maye threw for 374 yards and four touchdowns in the win, rebounding from a start to the season that saw him throw seven interceptions against four scores through his first four games. New England’s only losses this season came against the Seattle Seahawks and the Jacksonville Jaguars, alongside a 29-26 win over the Buffalo Bills. Meanwhile, the Jets carry a 2-3 record following a 17-12 win against the Cleveland Browns. Quarterback Geno Smith threw for 182 yards and a touchdown to Garrett Wilson, while Braelon Allen rushed for 116 yards and a score.
What injuries and roster moves impact this AFC East matchup?
The Patriots received a roster boost when receiver A.J. Brown was activated off injured reserve on Saturday. Brown has not played since Week 1 due to an ankle injury. New England’s offense ranks eighth in the NFL with 372.4 total yards per game, while averaging 22 points. The Jets defense ranks third in total yards allowed per game at 293 and ties for fifth in scoring defense, giving up 19.2 points per contest. New York rookie David Bailey recorded three of the team’s eight sacks in last week’s win over Cleveland.
What does the predictive model project for the game?
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and entered Week 6 on a 57-46 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. For this matchup, the model projects the Patriots to cover the 7.5-point spread in 53% of its simulations. Historical trends show the Patriots have won 10 of the 12 meetings between the two franchises this decade.