ITCZ brings rains to Visayas, Mindanao, and Palawan
A low-pressure area located outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility has developed into a tropical depression, the state weather bureau announced in its 4 a.m. weather bulletin. The cyclone was spotted 3,315 kilometers east of Central Luzon, carrying maximum sustained winds of 45 kilometers per hour with gustiness reaching up to 55 km/h, according to data from GMA Network.
State meteorologists track the system moving in a west-southwestward direction at a speed of 10 km/h. In contrast to the developing storm, much of the country experiences varying regional weather systems dictated by atmospheric convergence, creating distinct contrasts between heavy rainfall zones and generally fair conditions across different island groups.
Intertropical Convergence Zone Brings Rains to Palawan, Visayas, and Mindanao
While the tropical depression remains outside domestic jurisdiction, the Intertropical Convergence Zone continues to influence weather patterns across the southern and western portions of the country. GMA Network reported that the Negros Island Region, Zamboanga Peninsula, and Palawan experience cloudy skies accompanied by scattered rains and thunderstorms.

The Manila Times detailed the mechanics of this weather system through statements from Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) weather specialist Veronica Torres. She explained that the ITCZ represents the meeting of winds originating from the northern and southern hemispheres, driving precipitation across Western Visayas, Central Visayas, Northern Mindanao, and Caraga.
Fair Weather and Localized Thunderstorms Prevail Across Luzon and Metro Manila
Residents in Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon enjoy generally fair weather conditions dominated by partly cloudy to cloudy skies. Pagasa indicated that these areas experience isolated rain showers or thunderstorms driven by localized convective activity rather than major regional weather disturbances.
Torres stated that this fair weather pattern across Luzon and Metro Manila is expected to persist through the coming days, though afternoon or evening thunderstorms remain possible. Sunrise occurred at 5:46 a.m. with sunset scheduled at 5:47 p.m., according to meteorological observations published by GMA Network.
Future Track and Trajectory of the Developing Cyclone
The progression of the low-pressure system has drawn close scrutiny from forecasters evaluating its potential impact on national territory.

Estareja added that the system’s projected track will likely carry it generally west-northwest over a five-day outlook. Forecasters note that the cyclone may bypass the Philippine Area of Responsibility entirely as it heads northward by Monday, October 5, ensuring that its primary effects remain outside immediate domestic landmasses while seasonal convergence zones continue to dictate daily local weather.