New Jersey Primaries Test Trump’s Influence
Gubernatorial Race Could Signal Shift in Key State
New Jersey voters head to the polls Tuesday for primary elections that will set the stage for a closely watched gubernatorial race this fall. The outcome could offer insights into the enduring strength of former President Trump’s sway over the Republican base and the Democratic party’s strategy for countering his policies.
A Unique Election Landscape
New Jersey’s off-year gubernatorial elections, established by the state constitution in 1947, are designed to avoid being overshadowed by presidential contests. Along with Virginia, it’s one of only two states holding governor’s races this year. Eleven candidates are vying to succeed outgoing Democratic Governor Phil Murphy, and a small voter turnout could prove decisive.
Trump’s Endorsement and Republican Contenders
Former President Trump has endorsed Jack Ciattarelli, a former state assemblyman seeking his third attempt at the governorship. This is a notable shift, as Ciattarelli previously labeled Trump a “charlatan” and initially declined an endorsement in 2021. Trump’s backing suggests a strategic calculation to maximize Republican chances in November. According to a recent analysis by the Pew Research Center, roughly 60% of registered Republicans still identify with or favorably view Trump, demonstrating his continued influence within the party. Pew Research Center
“It’s a big deal. It’s being watched actually all over the world because New Jersey is ready to pop out of that blue horror show.”
—Donald Trump, Former President
While conservative talk show host Bill Spadea has a closer relationship with Trump, the former president apparently believes Ciattarelli has a stronger path to victory in the general election.
Democratic Candidates Vie for Position
On the Democratic side, six candidates are competing for the nomination. Newark Mayor Ras Baraka has gained attention for his activism, including an arrest while protesting at an immigration detention center. Congresswoman Mikie Sherrill emphasizes her record of opposing Trump’s policies, including her vote to impeach him. Jersey City Mayor Steve Fulop is appealing to progressive voters, criticizing Murphy’s approach as too accommodating.
Other contenders include Congressman Josh Gottheimer, former state senator Steve Sweeney, and teachers’ union president Sean Spiller, each with distinct strengths and support bases.
Beyond Trump: Key Issues at Stake
The New Jersey governorship is one of the most powerful in the nation. Candidates are focusing on issues such as improving the state’s transportation system, addressing the highest property taxes in the country, and increasing affordable housing options. Ciattarelli has proposed ending sanctuary policies for undocumented immigrants and redirecting school funding from urban to suburban districts.
The primary results will provide a crucial indication of voter priorities and the potential for a shift in power in New Jersey this fall.
